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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match

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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Zvijezda Gradacac - Larn (Sir)

Football

Stadium Rayko Mitich (Belgrad, Serbia), vmestimost: 51862

Zvijezda Gradacac

- : -

Not started

Larn (Sir)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Zvijezda Gradacac — 89%

1 · Zvijezda Gradacac ✓ Pick88.6%

X · draw7.6%

2 · Larn (Sir)3.8%

Model estimate: win Zvijezda Gradacac 88.6%, draw 7.6%, win Larn (Sir) 3.8%. Model favourite — Zvijezda Gradacac.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zvijezda Gradacac - Larn (Sir) July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.06 ↑ 1.07

1X2 X 12.00 ↓ 10.00

1X2 P2 26.00 ↑ 39.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Rayko Mitich (Belgrad, Serbia), vmestimost: 51862

Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Zvijezda Gradacac - Larn (Sir)

Football, Tsrvena Zvezda - Larn, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Tsrvena Zvezda - Larn, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Zvijezda Gradacac 90.2% 88.6% market and model agree

Draw 6.9% 7.6% draw risk

Larn (Sir) 2.9% 3.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 88.6% / 7.6% / 3.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,749 / 1,333 Zvijezda Gradacac / Larn (Sir)

RD 253 / 253 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,242-2,256 / 827-1,839 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 10.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 88.6%

Double chance

12 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 92.4%

X2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 11.4%

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.48 67.6%	1.46 68.5%
yes	2.55 39.2%	2.59 38.6%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.02 98.0%	1.03 97.1%
x2	10.00 10.0%	7.60 13.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.29 77.5%
X	3.90 25.6%
	19.80 5.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 1.5	1.95 51.3%

Match center

Zvijezda Gradacac

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Zvijezda Gradacac 4:0 Larn (Sir)

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

4.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Larn (Sir)

L W

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Larn (Sir) 0:4 Tsrvena Zvezda 🇷🇸

14.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Larn (Sir) 2:1 Tre Fiori (San)

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.5 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyZvijezda Gradacac - Larn (Sir)

Zvijezda Gradacac

1 matches total

Larn (Sir)

Zvijezda Gradacac: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Larn (Sir): 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tsrvena Zvezda 🇷🇸 4:0 (21.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 21.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Tsrvena Zvezda 🇷🇸

4:0

Larn (Sir)

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Zvijezda Gradacac

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Larn (Sir)

1 Games 3

1 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 1

4 Scored 3

0 Conceded 5

3 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

27 Shots on goal 9

15 Udary v stvor 2.67

1 Games 3

1 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 1

4 Scored 3

0 Conceded 5

Tsrvena Zvezda Larn 1 Games 3 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 1 4 Scored 3 0 Conceded 5 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 27 Shots on goal 9 15 Udary v stvor 2.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 8 Uglovye 3.33 2 Offsaydy 1 8 Foly 7.67 69 % vladeniya myachom 55 1 Warnings 1.67 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Deyan Stankovich Glavnye trenery Gari Khaveron Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 60% 15% 25% Double chance 38% 42% 20% Materialy po prognozam «Zenit» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Deyan Stankovich snova v Peterburge «Fenerbakhche» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Edin Dzheko ne spaset turok «Neftchi» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Pervoe mesto «Zenita» pod ugrozoy Semak v vygodnom polozhenii. Est li shans u «Tsrveny Zvezdy» v matche s «Zenitom»? «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Zenit». Brazilskiy karnaval prodolzhitsya «Tsrvena Zvezda» — «Bavariya». Prognoz: Levandovski and Koman pokazhut klass v Serbii «Tottenkhem» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: osteregaytes stavok na iskhod «Bavariya» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: serby ne ostavyat Noyera v pokoe «Yang Boyz» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Prognoz: bukmekery nedootsenivayut serbov KhIK — «Tsrvena Zvezda», «Rusenborg» — BATE. Prognoz na matchi Ligi chempionov CHAMP('pageBlockSli