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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg

3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 06.08.2026 19:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

06.08.2026 19:00 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match

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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg

Benfica - Hearts

Football

Stadium Yes Lush (Lissabon, Portugal), vmestimost: 65647

Benfica

- : -

Not started

Hearts

Benfica go head-to-head with Hearts on August 6, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Benfica 3-0-2, Hearts 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Benfica — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Benfica): model 47% · market 86% Δ −39 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Benfica ✓ Pick83.5%

market86%

X · draw10.7%

market10%

2 · Hearts5.8%

market4%

Model estimate: win Benfica 83.5%, draw 10.7%, win Hearts 5.8%. Model favourite — Benfica.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Benfica (odds2.20) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Benfika 🇵🇹: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
• edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Benfica - Hearts August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books

1 ✓ Pick 85.9%

2 4.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.09 → 1.09

1X2 X 9.00 → 9.00

1X2 P2 27.00 → 27.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 20:34 UTC

1 58% ✓ favourite

X 27%

2 15%

Score2:0 Total goals: Under 3.0 BTTS:No Bet:1 and Under 3.5

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

Claude updated03.08.2026 20:37 UTC

1 77% ✓ favourite

X 14%

2 9%

Score2:0 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 Benfika

Per AI data H2H: 3-0

AI consensus:1

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	58%	27%	15%	2:0	Under 3.0	No
Claude	77%	14%	9%	2:0	Over 2.5	No

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Stadium Yes Lush (Lissabon, Portugal), vmestimost: 65647

Start 06.08.2026 19:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Benfica 68%

📐 Math model Benfica 84%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Benfica - Hearts

football, Benfika - Kharts, 6 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Benfika - Kharts, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Benfica 85.9% 83.5% market and model agree

Draw 9.9% 10.7% draw risk

Hearts 4.2% 5.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 83.5% / 10.7% / 5.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,571 / 1,518 Benfica / Hearts

RD 190 / 239 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,192-1,951 / 1,040-1,996 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 9.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 83.5%

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 89.3%

X2 6.70 Fonbet · no value · model 16.5%

Total

Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.70 58.8%	1.64 61.0%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.02 98.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.05 95.2%
x2	6.10 16.4%	6.50 15.4%	6.70 14.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.41 70.9%
X	3.39 29.5%
	13.60 7.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 1.5	1.87 53.5%

Match center

Benfica

W W L W L

2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification

Benfica Benfica 5:0 Sankt Gallen

2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026

Benfica Benfica 5:1 OS Belenenses

2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification

Benfica Sankt Gallen 2:1 Benfica

2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026

Benfica Benfica 2:0 Villarreal

2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026

Benfica Benfica 1:2 Flamengo RJ

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Hearts

L L L W L

2026-08-01 Premiership 26/27

Aberdeen 2:1 Hearts Hearts

2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification

Hearts 0:2 Sturm Hearts

2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification

Sturm 4:0 Hearts Hearts

2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026

Hearts 2:1 Rayo Vallecano Hearts

2026-05-16 Premiership 25/26, Championship Round

Celtic 3:1 Hearts Hearts

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.4 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Hearts

Benfica

0 matches total

Hearts

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Benfica

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Hearts

2 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

6 Scored 0

2 Conceded 0

3 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

17.5 Shots on goal 0

6 Udary v stvor 0

2 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

6 Scored 0

2 Conceded 0

Benfika Kharts 2 Games 0 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 6 Scored 0 2 Conceded 0 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 17.5 Shots on goal 0 6 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.5 Uglovye 0 1.5 Offsaydy 0 8.5 Foly 0 67.5 % vladeniya myachom 0.5 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Marku Silva Glavnye trenery Vouter Vranken Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 79% 21% 0% Double chance 50% 39% 11% Materialy po prognozam «Benfika» — «Real»: na etot raz fokusy Mourinyu ne srabotayut «Benfika» — «Porto». Serzhiu Konseysau ostavit Di Mariyu bez prazdnika «Inter» — «Benfika». Indzagi poka derzhitsya «Benfika» — «Shakhter». Prognoz: «gornyaki» vybyut obidchika «Zenita» iz Ligi Evropy «Sporting» — «Benfika». Prognoz: berem koeffitsient 3.00 v lissabonskom derbi «Benfika» — «Zenit». Prognoz: Semak and Dzyuba ne vyvedut Piter dazhe v Ligu Evropy «RB Leyptsig» — «Benfika». Prognoz: soperniki «Zenita» ustroyat shou v Germany «Lion» — «Benfika». Prognoz: konkurenty «Zenita» oboydutsya vo France bez riska «Benfika» — «Lion». Prognoz: Depay and Dembele nakazhut portugaltsev «Zenit» — «Benfika». Prognoz: v Pitere — slit CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ n