UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Benfica - Sankt-Gallen π¨π
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Benfica β 82%
Model estimate: win Benfica 82.2%, draw 11.0%, win Sankt-Gallen π¨π 6.7%. Model favourite β Benfica.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Benfica - Sankt-Gallen π¨π July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Benfica - Sankt-Gallen π¨π
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 5.90 17.0% | 5.90 17.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 3.22 31.1% |
| 12.30 8.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Sankt-Gallen π¨π
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Benfica - Sankt-Gallen π¨π breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form