Ferencvaros face Gornik Zabrze on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ferencvaros 2-2-1, Gornik Zabrze 2-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Ferencvaros — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ferencvaros): model 53% · market 54%Δ −1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
54%1
1 · Ferencvaros53.7%
X · draw25.6%
2 · Gornik Zabrze20.7%
Model estimate: win Ferencvaros 53.7%, draw 25.6%, win Gornik Zabrze 20.7%. Model favourite — Ferencvaros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Ferencvaros (odds2.05)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Ferentsvarosh 🇭🇺: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
•legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze August 4, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Ferencvaros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 3.70 / 2 4.60
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.72↑ 1.73
1X2 X3.70→ 3.70
1X2 P24.60→ 4.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 19:27 UTC
152%✓ favourite
X28%
220%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 19:32 UTC
152%✓ favourite
X26%
222%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
52%
28%
20%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
1X and Under 2.5
Claude
52%
26%
22%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Ferencvaros53.8%53.7%market and model agree
Draw25.8%25.6%draw risk
Gornik Zabrze20.5%20.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P253.7% / 25.6% / 20.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,794 / 1,597
Ferencvaros / Gornik Zabrze
RD192 / 192
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,410-2,178 / 1,213-1,981
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.60
Fonbet · no value · model 20.7%
X3.70
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.73
Fonbet · no value · model 53.7%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet · no value · model 74.4%
1X1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 79.3%
X22.05
Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
Handicap
2 -11.60
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.95
market consensus · line only
2 03.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.80
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.80
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.51.95
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.97
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.77
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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