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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 05.08.2026 18:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 18:15 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze

Football
Stadium Groupama Arena (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 23698
Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros
- : -
Not started
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvaros face Gornik Zabrze on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ferencvaros 2-2-1, Gornik Zabrze 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ferencvaros — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ferencvaros): model 53% · market 54% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Ferencvaros54.0%
X · draw25.5%
2 · Gornik Zabrze20.5%

Model estimate: win Ferencvaros 54.0%, draw 25.5%, win Gornik Zabrze 20.5%. Model favourite — Ferencvaros.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ferencvaros (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Ferentsvarosh 🇭🇺: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferencvaros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 3.75 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4% 4 books · best price +2.6%
1 54.1%
X 25.7%
2 20.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.72 ↓ 1.70
1X2 X 3.70 ↑ 3.75
1X2 P2 4.60 ↑ 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 19:27 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 19:32 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 22%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 52% 28% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 52% 26% 22% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Groupama Arena (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 23698
Start 05.08.2026 18:15 UTC
Market 1 55.1% @ 1.70 / X 25.0% @ 3.75 / 2 19.9% @ 4.70
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ferencvaros 52%
📐 Math model Ferencvaros 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze

football, Ferentsvarosh - Gurnik Z, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Ferentsvarosh - Gurnik Z, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ferencvaros 54.1% 54.0% market and model agree
Draw 25.7% 25.5% draw risk
Gornik Zabrze 20.3% 20.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.0% / 25.5% / 20.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,794 / 1,597 Ferencvaros / Gornik Zabrze
RD 192 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,410-2,179 / 1,212-1,981 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · no value · model 20.5%
X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 54.0%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.5%
1X 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 79.5%
X2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 46.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.26 44.3%
X 2.31 43.3%
4.90 20.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1 2.05 48.8%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.78 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.7 (Fonbet) · 2 4.6 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.76 3.55 4.4
Fonbet 1.72 3.7 4.6
Betcity 1.75 3.5 4.5
Liga Stavok 1.78 3.55 4.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ferencvaros
D D L W W
2026-08-02 NB I 26/27
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0:0 Vasas
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2:2 Twente
2026-07-26 NB I 26/27
Ferencvaros Paksi 4:2 Ferencvaros
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Twente 1:2 Ferencvaros
2026-07-16 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3:0 Vojvodina Novi Sad
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Gornik Zabrze
D W L L W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Gornik Zabrze 1:1 Fenerbahce Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-25 Ekstraklasa 26/27
Gornik Zabrze 2:1 Slask Wroclaw Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Fenerbahce 1:0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-16 Superpuchar Polski 2026
Lech Poznan 3:1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
Nordsjaelland 0:2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ferencvaros
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Gornik Zabrze
Ferencvaros Team comparison Gornik Zabrze
4 Games 0
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 0
4 Conceded 0
10 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9 Shots on goal 0
2.75 Udary v stvor 0
4 Games 0
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 0
4 Conceded 0

Ferentsvarosh Gurnik Z 4 Games 0 3 Wins 0 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 9 Scored 0 4 Conceded 0 10 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 0 2.75 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 0 1.75 Offsaydy 0 9.75 Foly 0 47.25 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.25 Warnings 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Mikhal Gashparik Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 65% 18% 17% Double chance 42% 40% 18% Materialy po prognozam «Shemrok Rovers» — «Ferentsvarosh». Po Cherchesovu ne skuchayut «Ferentsvarosh» — «KI Klaksvik». Cherchesov chto-nibud pridumaet «KI Klaksvik» — «Ferentsvarosh». U Cherchesova sereznyy nastroy «Uypesht» — «Ferentsvarosh». Cherchesov idet v otryv «Ferentsvarosh» — «Gonved». Cherchesov otblagodarit za doverie «Ferentsvarosh» — CSKA. Prognoz: «armeytsy» ostanutsya na poslednem meste v gruppe CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321426' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');