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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 05.08.2026 18:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 18:15 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
Not started

UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg

Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze

Football
Stadium Groupama Arena (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 23698
Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros
- : -
Not started
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvaros face Gornik Zabrze on August 5, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ferencvaros 2-2-1, Gornik Zabrze 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ferencvaros — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ferencvaros): model 53% · market 55% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Ferencvaros54.9%
X · draw24.6%
2 · Gornik Zabrze20.5%

Model estimate: win Ferencvaros 54.9%, draw 24.6%, win Gornik Zabrze 20.5%. Model favourite — Ferencvaros.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ferencvaros (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Ferentsvarosh 🇭🇺: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferencvaros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 3.75 / 2 4.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8% 4 books · best price +1.2%
1 55.1%
X 24.8%
2 20.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.72 ↓ 1.70
1X2 X 3.70 ↑ 3.80
1X2 P2 4.60 ↑ 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ferencvaros 1 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
11.73
X3.81
24.99

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 19:27 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 19:32 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 22%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 52% 28% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 52% 26% 22% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Groupama Arena (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 23698
Start 05.08.2026 18:15 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.70 / X 25.1% @ 3.75 / 2 19.6% @ 4.80
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ferencvaros 52%
📐 Math model Ferencvaros 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze

football, Ferentsvarosh - Gurnik Z, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Ferentsvarosh - Gurnik Z, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ferencvaros 55.0% 54.9% market and model agree
Draw 24.8% 24.6% draw risk
Gornik Zabrze 20.2% 20.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.9% / 24.6% / 20.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,794 / 1,597 Ferencvaros / Gornik Zabrze
RD 192 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,410-2,179 / 1,212-1,981 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.80 Fonbet · no value · model 20.5%
X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 54.9%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.4%
1X 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 79.5%
X2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 45.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
x2 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.26 44.3%
X 2.31 43.3%
4.90 20.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.78 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.75 (Pari) · 2 4.7 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.7 3.75 4.7
Winline 1.76 3.55 4.4
Fonbet 1.72 3.7 4.6
Betcity 1.75 3.5 4.5
Liga Stavok 1.78 3.55 4.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ferencvaros
D D L W W
2026-08-02 NB I 26/27
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0:0 Vasas
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2:2 Twente
2026-07-26 NB I 26/27
Ferencvaros Paksi 4:2 Ferencvaros
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Twente 1:2 Ferencvaros
2026-07-16 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3:0 Vojvodina Novi Sad
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Gornik Zabrze
D W L L W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Gornik Zabrze 1:1 Fenerbahce Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-25 Ekstraklasa 26/27
Gornik Zabrze 2:1 Slask Wroclaw Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Fenerbahce 1:0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-16 Superpuchar Polski 2026
Lech Poznan 3:1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
Nordsjaelland 0:2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ferencvaros
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Gornik Zabrze
Ferencvaros Team comparison Gornik Zabrze
4 Games 0
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 0
4 Conceded 0
10 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9 Shots on goal 0
2.75 Udary v stvor 0
4 Games 0
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 0
4 Conceded 0

Ferentsvarosh Gurnik Z 4 Games 0 3 Wins 0 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 9 Scored 0 4 Conceded 0 10 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 0 2.75 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 0 1.75 Offsaydy 0 9.75 Foly 0 47.25 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.25 Warnings 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Mikhal Gashparik Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 56% 21% 23% Double chance 39% 39% 22% Materialy po prognozam «Shemrok Rovers» — «Ferentsvarosh». Po Cherchesovu ne skuchayut «Ferentsvarosh» — «KI Klaksvik». Cherchesov chto-nibud pridumaet «KI Klaksvik» — «Ferentsvarosh». U Cherchesova sereznyy nastroy «Uypesht» — «Ferentsvarosh». Cherchesov idet v otryv «Ferentsvarosh» — «Gonved». Cherchesov otblagodarit za doverie «Ferentsvarosh» — CSKA. Prognoz: «armeytsy» ostanutsya na poslednem meste v gruppe CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321426' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');