Hradec Kralove face Besiktas on August 6, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hradec Kralove 3-2-0, Besiktas 3-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Besiktas — 49%
Pure model vs market (2 · Besiktas): model 29% · market 50%Δ −21 ppmodel estimates below the market
49%2
1 · Hradec Kralove24.7%
X · draw26.8%
2 · Besiktas48.5%
Model estimate: win Hradec Kralove 24.7%, draw 26.8%, win Besiktas 48.5%. Model favourite — Besiktas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Hradec Kralove (odds2.22)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Gradets-Kralove 🇨🇿: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
•edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hradec Kralove - Besiktas August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Besiktas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / X 3.50 / 2 1.85
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P14.10→ 4.10
1X2 X3.50→ 3.50
1X2 P21.85→ 1.85
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Europa League
League table
Hradec Kralove
#76 ptsGP 22-0-04:1
Besiktas
#66 ptsGP 22-0-03:0
Best price
across 14 books
14.161xBet
X3.60Betfair
21.97Superbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 17:52 UTC
145%✓ favourite
X32%
223%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 17:57 UTC
128%
X30%
242%✓ favourite
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:X2 (Beshiktash ne proigraet) — 72%
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
45%
32%
23%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
1X
Claude
28%
30%
42%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
X2 (Beshiktash ne proigraet) — 72%
Buy the full AI analysis
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Hradec Kralove23.3%24.7%
Draw27.0%26.8%draw risk
Besiktas49.8%48.5%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P224.7% / 26.8% / 48.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,697 / 1,614
Hradec Kralove / Besiktas
RD179 / 166
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,339-2,056 / 1,282-1,946
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.85
Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%
X3.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
14.10
Fonbet · no value · model 24.7%
Double chance
121.28
Fonbet · no value · model 73.2%
1X1.90
Fonbet · no value · model 51.5%
X21.22
Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
Handicap
2 -0.51.82
market consensus · line only
2 -11.07
Fonbet · line only
2 +12.55
Fonbet · line only
2 01.37
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.82
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.51.92
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.00
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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