Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Larne meet Iberia 1999 on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Larne 2-1-2, Iberia 1999 2-2-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Iberia 1999 β 41%
Pure model vs market (2 Β· Iberia 1999): model 43% Β· market 42% Ξ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Larne 30.3%, draw 29.2%, win Iberia 1999 40.6%. Model favourite β Iberia 1999.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.81 26.3% | |
| X | 2.16 46.3% |
| 2.82 35.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.82 55.0% |
Larne
Iberia 1999
Full head-to-head historyLarne - Iberia 1999
The Larne - Iberia 1999 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
