Europe: Europa League - Qualifying
Larne - Iberia 1999
Larne go head-to-head with Iberia 1999 on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualifying.
Recent form (W-D-L): Larne 2-1-2, Iberia 1999 2-2-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Iberia 1999 β 42%
Pure model vs market (2 Β· Iberia 1999): model 43% Β· market 42% Ξ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Larne 28.5%, draw 29.1%, win Iberia 1999 42.4%. Model favourite β Iberia 1999.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.13)
- • edge over the line +18 pp β value pick
- • Expected score 1
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.68).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Larne - Iberia 1999 August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.35 / X 3.25 / 2 2.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction β’ nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 26% | 31% | 43% | 0:1 | Under 2.5 | No | X2 |
| Claude | 28% | 31% | 41% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | No | Under 2.5 |
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Larne - Iberia 1999
football, Larn - Iberiya 1999, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Larn - Iberiya 1999, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.61 62.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.63 61.4% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.92 25.5% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 2.87 34.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.70 58.8% |
Odds Β· 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.3 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
| Winline | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.19 |
| Fonbet | 3.3 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
| Betcity | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.21 |
Larne
Iberia 1999
Full head-to-head historyLarne - Iberia 1999
Match history
Larn Iberiya 1999 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Gari Khaveron Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 38% 20% 42% Double chance 29% 40% 31% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321442' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form