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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Lincoln Red Imps - Omonia Nicosia

Football
Stadium Europe Sports Park (Gibraltar, Gibraltar), vmestimost: 8066
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
- : -
Not started
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps face Omonia Nicosia on August 6, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lincoln Red Imps 2-2-1, Omonia Nicosia 2-2-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Omonia Nicosia — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Omonia Nicosia): model 42% · market 60% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Lincoln Red Imps18.5%
market17%
X · draw22.2%
market22%
2 · Omonia Nicosia59.3%
market60%

Model estimate: win Lincoln Red Imps 18.5%, draw 22.2%, win Omonia Nicosia 59.3%. Model favourite — Omonia Nicosia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Omonia Nicosia (odds2.47) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Omoniya (Kip): probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.47)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lincoln Red Imps - Omonia Nicosia August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Omonia Nicosia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / X 4.20 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books
1 17.4%
X 22.2%
2 60.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.50 → 5.50
1X2 X 4.20 → 4.20
1X2 P2 1.55 → 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa League
Best price across 14 books
1 5.97 1xBet
X 4.40 Unibet
2 1.56 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lincoln Red Imps
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.67 Conceded 2.25 xG 0.64 xGA 2.18 Corners 2.2
Omonia Nicosia
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.68 xGA 1.89 Corners 2.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:48 UTC
1 20%
X 35%
2 45% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Total Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Claude updated03.08.2026 17:52 UTC
1 19%
X 27%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 20% 35% 45% 0:1 Under 2.5 No Total Under 2.5
Claude 19% 27% 54% 0:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Europe Sports Park (Gibraltar, Gibraltar), vmestimost: 8066
Start 06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 17.1% @ 5.50 / X 22.4% @ 4.20 / 2 60.6% @ 1.55
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Omonia Nicosia 50%
📐 Math model Omonia Nicosia 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Lincoln Red Imps - Omonia Nicosia

football, Linkoln - Omoniya, 6 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Linkoln - Omoniya, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lincoln Red Imps 17.4% 18.5%
Draw 22.2% 22.2% draw risk
Omonia Nicosia 60.5% 59.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 18.5% / 22.2% / 59.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,484 / 1,662 Lincoln Red Imps / Omonia Nicosia
RD 213 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,059-1,910 / 1,311-2,013 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 59.3%
X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 18.5%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 77.8%
1X 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 40.7%
X2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 81.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%
1x 2.27 44.1% 2.32 43.1% 2.35 42.6%
x2 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.80 17.2%
X 2.47 40.5%
1.99 50.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.23 44.8%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 7.4 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.6 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.55 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.5 4.2 1.55
Winline 7 4.4 1.41
Fonbet 5.5 4.2 1.55
Betcity 5.5 4.3 1.5
Liga Stavok 7.4 4.6 1.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Lincoln Red Imps
D L D W W
2026-07-28 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps 0:0 Mjolby
2026-07-21 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Lincoln Red Imps Mjolby 3:0 Lincoln Red Imps
2026-07-14 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Lincoln Red Imps Inter Escaldes 1:1 Lincoln Red Imps
2026-07-07 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps 3:1 Inter Escaldes
2026-04-25 Gibraltar Football League 25/26, Championship Round
Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps 4:1 Lynx
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Omonia Nicosia
L W W D D
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Kairat Almaty 1:0 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
2026-07-22 UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification
Omonia Nicosia 1:0 Kairat Almaty Omonia Nicosia
2026-07-16 Club Friendly Games 2026
Omonia Nicosia 2:1 Panetolikos Omonia Nicosia
2026-07-09 Club Friendly Games 2026
Korona Kielce 0:0 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
2026-07-05 Club Friendly Games 2026
Omonia Nicosia 2:2 Hapoel Beer Sheva Omonia Nicosia
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lincoln Red Imps
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Omonia Nicosia
Lincoln Red Imps Team comparison Omonia Nicosia
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Linkoln Omoniya 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khuanma Pavon Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 14% 0% 86% Double chance 7% 50% 43% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321450' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');