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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg
3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match 06.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 16:00 UTC 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match
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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg

Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia

Football
Stadium Batumi Arena (Batumi, Georgia), vmestimost: 20383
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- : -
Not started
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia

Maccabi Tel Aviv face CSKA Sofia on August 6, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1-0, CSKA Sofia 2-3-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Maccabi Tel Aviv): model 45% · market 47% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Maccabi Tel Aviv46.8%
X · draw27.7%
2 · CSKA Sofia25.5%

Model estimate: win Maccabi Tel Aviv 46.8%, draw 27.7%, win CSKA Sofia 25.5%. Model favourite — Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Maccabi Tel Aviv (odds2.25) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maccabi Tel Aviv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.97 / X 3.35 / 2 3.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books · best price +1.0%
1 46.9%
X 27.9%
2 25.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.97 → 1.97
1X2 X 3.35 → 3.35
1X2 P2 3.80 → 3.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa League
League table
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#46 ptsGP 22-0-06:0
CSKA Sofia
#38 ptsGP 42-2-05:3
Best price across 13 books
1 2.04 Unibet
X 3.50 Unibet
2 3.95 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Maccabi Tel Aviv
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.97 Conceded 2.03 xG 1.15 xGA 1.81 Corners 3.0
CSKA Sofia
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.15 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.48 xGA 1.29 Corners 3.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 23%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 16:48 UTC
1 49% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 46% 31% 23% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 49% 27% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Batumi Arena (Batumi, Georgia), vmestimost: 20383
Start 06.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 47.5% @ 1.97 / X 27.9% @ 3.35 / 2 24.6% @ 3.80
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Maccabi Tel Aviv 48%
📐 Math model Maccabi Tel Aviv 47%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia

football, Makkabi T-A - TsSKA S, 6 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Makkabi T-A - TsSKA S, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maccabi Tel Aviv 46.9% 46.8% market and model agree
Draw 27.9% 27.7% draw risk
CSKA Sofia 25.1% 25.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.8% / 27.7% / 25.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,597 / 1,563 Maccabi Tel Aviv / CSKA Sofia
RD 230 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,137-2,057 / 1,189-1,938 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.80 Fonbet · no value · model 25.5%
X 3.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.97 Fonbet · no value · model 46.8%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
1X 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.5%
X2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 53.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.58 38.8%
X 2.19 45.7%
4.23 23.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.82 55.0%
Under 1 1.92 52.1%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2 (Betcity) · X 3.35 (Pari) · 2 3.8 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.97 3.35 3.8
Winline 1.99 3.3 3.65
Fonbet 1.97 3.35 3.8
Betcity 2 3.3 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Maccabi Tel Aviv
W W W W D
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:0 Sheriff Tiraspol
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff Tiraspol 0:5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
2026-07-16 Super Cup 2026
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Beer Sheva 1:3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
2026-05-26 State Cup 25/26
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Beer Sheva 1:2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
2026-05-23 Premier League 25/26, Championship Round
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Petah Tikva 2:2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
CSKA Sofia
W D W D D
2026-08-02 Parva Liga 26/27
CSKA Sofia 2:1 Dunav Ruse CSKA Sofia
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
CSKA Sofia 0:0 Qarabag CSKA Sofia
2026-07-27 Parva Liga 26/27
CSKA Sofia 3:2 Botev Plovdiv CSKA Sofia
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Qarabag 0:0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
2026-07-20 Parva Liga 26/27
Slavia Sofia 0:0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv Team comparison CSKA Sofia
2 Games 4
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
6 Scored 5
0 Conceded 3
6 Points 10
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14 Shots on goal 12.75
7.5 Udary v stvor 4.5
2 Games 4
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
6 Scored 5
0 Conceded 3

Makkabi T-A CSKA S 2 Games 4 2 Wins 3 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 6 Scored 5 0 Conceded 3 6 Points 10 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14 Shots on goal 12.75 7.5 Udary v stvor 4.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 8 Uglovye 4 2.5 Offsaydy 2 9 Foly 16.75 67 % vladeniya myachom 52.25 0.5 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Zharko Lazetich Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 56% 25% 19% Double chance 41% 37% 22% Materialy po prognozam «Makkabi» — «Zenit», «Red Bull» — «Krasnodar». Zabyut vse V Gente «Zenitu» ne udastsya povtorit rekord «Spartaka» «Lion» — «Zenit»: sine-belo-golubye ne ustupyat na «Zherlane» «Zenit» — «Lion»: u «tkachey» No shansov obygrat chempionov Russia CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321414' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');