UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Maccabi Tel Aviv - Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv โ 67%
Model estimate: win Maccabi Tel Aviv 66.8%, draw 16.7%, win Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ 16.6%. Model favourite โ Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Makkabi Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ: probability 62% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.34)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 3 (odds 1.77)
- • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.93).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maccabi Tel Aviv - Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 4.80 / 2 8.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Maccabi Tel Aviv - Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 2.60 38.5% |
| 8.10 12.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
Full head-to-head historyMaccabi Tel Aviv - Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Maccabi Tel Aviv - Sherif ๐ฒ๐ฉ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form