Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

30.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Midtjylland - Besiktas

Football

Midtjylland

- : -

Not started

Besiktas

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Midtjylland — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Midtjylland): model 47% · market 48% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Midtjylland49.8%

X · draw24.6%

2 · Besiktas25.7%

Model estimate: win Midtjylland 49.8%, draw 24.6%, win Besiktas 25.7%. Model favourite — Midtjylland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Midtjylland (odds1.85) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Midtyullann 🇩🇰: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Midtjylland - Besiktas July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.84 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.1%

1 48.0%

X 25.5%

2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Midtjylland 1 : 1 Besiktas

12.01

X3.75

23.62

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium MSKh Arena (Kherning, Denmark), vmestimost: 12152

Referee Dzhon Bruks (Lester)

Start 30.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Midtjylland - Besiktas

Football, Midtyullann - Beshiktash, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Midtyullann - Beshiktash, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Midtjylland 49.9% 49.8% market and model agree

Draw 24.7% 24.6% draw risk

Besiktas 25.4% 25.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 24.6% / 25.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,580 / 1,522 Midtjylland / Besiktas

RD 227 / 178 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,127-2,034 / 1,165-1,878 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.70 market consensus · no value · model 25.7%

X 3.81 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%

Double chance

12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 75.4%

1X 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 74.3%

X2 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.51 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.80 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.28 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.28 43.9%
yes	1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
x2	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.50 40.0%
X	2.39 41.8%
	3.82 26.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.61 62.1%
Under 1	2.23 44.8%

Match center

Midtjylland

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Besiktas

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Usman Diao Mikel Gogorza Zhunior Brumado Travmirovannye Onine Ndidi Diskvalifitsirovannye Fraydey Etim CHAMP Feliks Uduokhay CHAMP

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers

Match center

Midtjylland

23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

Midtjylland 0:1 Beshiktash 🇹🇷

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Besiktas

23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

Besiktas 1:0 Midtyullann 🇩🇰

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMidtjylland - Besiktas

Midtjylland

1 matches total

Besiktas

Midtjylland: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Besiktas: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Beshiktash 🇹🇷 0:1 (23.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 23.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

Midtyullann 🇩🇰

0:1

Beshiktash 🇹🇷

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Midtjylland

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Besiktas

1 Games 1

0 Wins 1

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

0 Scored 1

1 Conceded 0

0 Points 3

59 Attacks 153

19 Dangerous attacks 94

0 Big chances 0

5 Shots on goal 26

1 Shots on target 7

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Midtyullann Beshiktash 1 Games 1 0 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 Scored 1 Conceded 0 Points 3 59 Attacks 153 19 Dangerous attacks 94 0 Big chances 0 5 Shots on goal 26 1 Udary v stvor 7 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 5 0 Offsaydy 1 9 Foly 12 25 % vladeniya myachom 75 0 Pred

Midtyullann Beshiktash 1 Games 1 0 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 Scored 1 Conceded 0 Points 3 59 Attacks 153 19 Dangerous attacks 94 0 Big chances 0 5 Shots on goal 26 1 Udary v stvor 7 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 5 0 Offsaydy 1 9 Foly 12 25 % vladeniya myachom 75 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0