UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Pafos (Kip) β 50%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Pafos (Kip)): model 34% Β· market 52% Ξ β18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Pafos (Kip) 50.4%, draw 23.5%, win Khayduk ππ· 26.1%. Model favourite β Pafos (Kip).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction β’ nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football, Pafos - Khayduk, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Pafos - Khayduk, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.97 50.8% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.43 41.2% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 4.47 22.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.8 | 3.9 | 3.95 |
| Winline | 1.83 | 3.6 | 3.95 |
| Fonbet | 1.8 | 3.9 | 3.95 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.84 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
Full head-to-head historyPafos (Kip) - Khayduk ππ·
Pafos Khayduk 1 Games 3 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 0 Scored 5 2 Conceded 2 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13 Shots on goal 11.33 4 Udary v stvor 4.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7 Uglovye 6 3 Offsaydy 0.67 10 Foly 16 56 % vladeniya myachom 49.33 2 Warnings 2.33 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 44% 20% 36% Double chance 32% 40% 28% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318078' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
The Pafos (Kip) - Khayduk ππ· breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
