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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

30.07.2026 15:45 UTC

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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

PAOK - Dynamo Makhachkala

Football

PAOK

- : -

Not started

Dynamo Makhachkala

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 PAOK — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · PAOK): model 61% · market 53% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · PAOK53.9%

X · draw24.9%

2 · Dynamo Makhachkala21.2%

Model estimate: win PAOK 53.9%, draw 24.9%, win Dynamo Makhachkala 21.2%. Model favourite — PAOK.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1PAOK (odds1.74) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.90) confidence 50%

• Model backs PAOK 🇬🇷: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.74)
• no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PAOK - Dynamo Makhachkala July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / X 3.75 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%

1 52.8%

X 24.9%

2 22.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.75 ↑ 1.77

1X2 X 3.70 ↑ 3.75

1X2 P2 4.40 ↓ 4.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

PAOK 2 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala

11.80

X3.78

24.52

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Stadium Tumba (Saloniki, Greece), vmestimost: 28701

Start 30.07.2026 15:45 UTC

Match center

PAOK - Dynamo Makhachkala

Football, PAOK - Dynamo K, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches PAOK - Dynamo K, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

PAOK 53.4% 53.9% market and model agree

Draw 25.3% 24.9% draw risk

Dynamo Makhachkala 21.3% 21.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 53.9% / 24.9% / 21.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,759 / 1,444 PAOK / Dynamo Makhachkala

RD 195 / 196 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,368-2,149 / 1,051-1,837 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 21.2%

X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 53.9%

Double chance

12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.1%

1X 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 78.8%

X2 1.97 Fonbet · no value · model 46.1%

Handicap

2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
1x	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%
x2	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.97 50.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.34 42.7%
X	2.31 43.3%
	4.57 21.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.73 57.8%
Under 1	2.03 49.3%

Match center

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.77 (Pari) · X 3.75 (Pari) · 2 4.5 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.77	3.75	4.2
Fonbet	1.77	3.75	4.2
Betcity	1.75	3.7	4.5

Source: ruscore · line comparison

PAOK

23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

PAOK 3:2 Dinamo Kiev 🇺🇦

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Dynamo Makhachkala

L D

23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

Dynamo Makhachkala 2:3 PAOK 🇬🇷

16.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0 Universitatya Kluzh 🇷🇴

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPAOK - Dynamo Makhachkala

PAOK

1 matches total

Dynamo Makhachkala

PAOK: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Dynamo Makhachkala: 1 (100%)

Biggest win PAOK 🇬🇷 3:2 (23.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 23.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying

PAOK 🇬🇷

3:2

Dinamo Kiev 🇺🇦

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 PAOK

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Dynamo Makhachkala

1 Games 3

1 Wins 1

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 1

3 Scored 2

2 Conceded 3

3 Points 4

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

13 Shots on goal 15.33

7 Shots on target 5.33

. Prognoz: Konoplyanka, Tayson and Marlos priblizyatsya k zolotu UPL «Ayaks» —

PAOK. Prognoz: gollandtsy ne stanut tyanut rezinu «Bryugge» — «Dynamo Kiev», «Bazel» — LASK. Prognozy na Ligu chempionov PAOK — «Ayaks»

. Prognoz: amsterdamtsev zhdet nastoyaschee ispytanie «Benfika» pokazhet «Spartaku», kak nuzhno bylo obygryvat PAOK «Spartak» pokromsaet PAOK na grecheskiy salat and proydet dalshe «Spartak» sdelaet vyvody iz oshibok «Bazelya» v matchakh s PAOKom «Benfike» pora v Ligu Evropy. «Fenerbakhche» zabet and ne proigraet PAOK sdelaet pervyy shag navst

PAOK Dynamo K 1 Games 3 1 Wins 1 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 3 Scored 2 Conceded 3 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13 Shots on goal 15.33 7 Udary v stvor 5.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 1 Uglovye 4.33 1 Offsaydy 2.33 12 Foly 12 42 % vladeniya myachom 60 3 Warnings 1.33 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Alessio Lishi Alessio Lishi Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 70% 11% 19% Double chance 41% 44% 15% Materialy po prognozam «Shakhter» — «Dynamo Kiev». Prognoz: Konoplyanka, Tayson and Marlos priblizyatsya k zolotu UPL «Ayaks» — PAOK. Prognoz: gollandtsy ne stanut tyanut rezinu «Bryugge» — «Dynamo Kiev», «Bazel» — LASK. Prognozy na Ligu chempionov PAOK — «Ayaks». Prognoz: amsterdamtsev zhdet nastoyaschee ispytanie «Benfika» pokazhet «Spartaku», kak nuzhno bylo obygryvat PAOK «Spartak» pokromsaet PAOK na grecheskiy salat and proydet dalshe «Spartak» sdelaet vyvody iz oshibok «Bazelya» v matchakh s PAOKom «Benfike» pora v Ligu Evropy. «Fenerbakhche» zabet and ne proigraet PAOK sdelaet pervyy shag navstrechu «Spartaku» Kuy zhelezo! CSKA snova wins razobrannyy AEK CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHA