Borac Banja Luka take on ML Vitebsk on August 6, 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualifying.
Recent form (W-D-L): Borac Banja Luka 1-2-2, ML Vitebsk 3-0-2. Full analysis β form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction β follows on this page.
π― PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Borac Banja Luka β 52%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Borac Banja Luka): model 51% Β· market 53%Ξ β2 ppmodel estimate matches the market
52%1
1 Β· Borac Banja Luka51.7%
X Β· draw26.1%
2 Β· ML Vitebsk22.2%
Model estimate: win Borac Banja Luka 51.7%, draw 26.1%, win ML Vitebsk 22.2%. Model favourite β Borac Banja Luka.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
π€AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Borac Banja Luka (odds2.13)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Borats Banya Luka (Big): probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
•edge over the line +3 pp β value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borac Banja Luka - ML Vitebsk August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Borac Banja Luka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / X 3.60 / 2 4.50
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.80β 1.78
1X2 X3.50β 3.50
1X2 P24.10β 4.20
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Europa Conference League
League table
Borac Banja Luka
#414 ptsGP 21-1-06:3
ML Vitebsk
#266 ptsGP 22-0-05:1
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 readyΒ· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 19:36 UTC
158%✓ favourite
X21%
221%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X and Over 1.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 19:40 UTC
156%✓ favourite
X23%
221%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance 1X (79%)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
58%
21%
21%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
1X and Over 1.5
Claude
56%
23%
21%
1:0
Under 3.5
No
Double chance 1X (79%)
Buy the full AI analysis
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Borac Banja Luka51.7%51.7%market and model agree
Draw26.3%26.1%draw risk
ML Vitebsk22.0%22.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P251.7% / 26.1% / 22.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,455 / 1,256
Borats Banya Luka (Big) / ML Vitebsk π§πΎ
RD205 / 234
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,045-1,866 / 787-1,724
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.50
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 22.2%
X3.60
Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.72
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 51.7%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 73.9%
1X1.16
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 77.8%
X22.00
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 48.3%
Handicap
2 -11.52
Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.51.97
market consensus Β· line only
2 +11.48
market consensus Β· line only
2 03.15
Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.52.00
Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.51.72
Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No1.80
Fonbet Β· line only
Yes1.90
Fonbet Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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