Turkey. Superleague
ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ - Alashkert π¦π²
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ β 53%
Model estimate: win ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ 53.5%, draw 20.7%, win Alashkert π¦π² 25.8%. Model favourite β ChFR Kluzh π·π΄.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs ChFR Kluzh π·π΄: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) β informational only
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 2.05).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ - Alashkert π¦π² July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.05 / 2 5.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ - Alashkert π¦π²
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.06 48.5% | |
| X | 2.44 41.0% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
Alashkert π¦π²
Alashkert π¦π²
Elimay π°πΏ
Elimay π°πΏ
Full head-to-head historyChFR Kluzh π·π΄ - Alashkert π¦π²
Overall statistics
Match history
Alashkert π¦π²
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The ChFR Kluzh π·π΄ - Alashkert π¦π² breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form