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Turkey. Superleague
Turkey. Superleague
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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Turkey. Superleague

Dynamo Kiev - Qarabag

Football
Dynamo Kiev
Dynamo Kiev
- : -
Not started
Qarabag
Qarabag

Dynamo Kiev go head-to-head with Qarabag on August 6, 2026 in the Turkey. Superleague.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dynamo Kiev 1-2-2, Qarabag 2-2-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dynamo Kiev — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dynamo Kiev): model 42% · market 43% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Dynamo Kiev43.8%
X · draw27.0%
2 · Qarabag29.2%

Model estimate: win Dynamo Kiev 43.8%, draw 27.0%, win Qarabag 29.2%. Model favourite — Dynamo Kiev.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dynamo Kiev (odds2.49) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Dinamo Kiev 🇺🇦: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.49)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dynamo Kiev - Qarabag August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dynamo Kiev. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 3.40 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +2.6%
1 43.4%
X 27.1%
2 29.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.10 → 2.10
1X2 X 3.40 → 3.40
1X2 P2 3.20 → 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
Best price across 12 books
1 2.17 1xBet
X 3.55 Betano
2 3.45 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dynamo Kiev
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.41 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.22 xGA 1.67 Corners 4.8
Qarabag
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.16 Conceded 1.44 Corners 7.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:19 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 17:24 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 25%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X (Dynamo ne proigraet) — pri veroyatnosti 75% stavka tsenna ot kefa 1.35; chistaya 1 po 1.75 tsennosti ne

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 26% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 48% 27% 25% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X (Dynamo ne proigraet) — pri veroyatnosti 75% stavka tsenna ot kefa 1.35; chistaya 1 po 1.75 tsennosti ne

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 43.0% @ 2.15 / X 27.2% @ 3.40 / 2 29.8% @ 3.10
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Dynamo Kiev 49%
📐 Math model Dynamo Kiev 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dynamo Kiev - Qarabag

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dynamo Kiev 43.9% 43.8% market and model agree
Draw 27.1% 27.0% draw risk
Qarabag 28.9% 29.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 43.8% / 27.0% / 29.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,506 / 1,529 Dynamo Makhachkala / Qarabag
RD 187 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,132-1,880 / 1,168-1,891 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 29.2%
X 3.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
Double chance
12 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 73.0%
1X 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%
X2 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7% 1.32 75.8%
x2 1.61 62.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.61 38.3%
X 2.33 42.9%
3.75 26.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.78 56.2%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.1 (Pari) · X 3.85 (Winline) · 2 4.4 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.1 3.4 3.2
Winline 1.77 3.85 4.4
Fonbet 2.05 3.4 3.35
Betcity 2 3.5 3.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dynamo Kiev
L L D D W
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Dynamo Kiev PAOK 2:0 Dynamo Kiev
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2:3 PAOK
2026-07-16 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Dynamo Kiev Universitatea Cluj 0:0 Dynamo Kiev
2026-07-09 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0:0 Universitatea Cluj
2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dynamo Kiev LASK 0:2 Dynamo Kiev
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Qarabag
D D W W L
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
CSKA Sofia 0:0 Qarabag Qarabag
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Qarabag 0:0 CSKA Sofia Qarabag
2026-07-16 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
IF Vestri 0:3 Qarabag Qarabag
2026-07-09 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Qarabag 3:0 IF Vestri Qarabag
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Qarabag 2:6 FC Kharkiv Qarabag
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDynamo Kiev - Qarabag

Dynamo Kiev
0 matches total
Qarabag
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history