Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P13.00→ 3.00
1X2 X3.40→ 3.40
1X2 P22.20→ 2.20
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Europa Conference League
League table
Goteborg
#603 ptsGP 21-0-12:2
Gent
#762 ptsGP 20-2-00:0
Best price
across 12 books
13.081xBet
X3.421xBet
22.361xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC
130%
X28%
243%✓ favourite
Score0:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Total Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 17:11 UTC
130%
X28%
242%✓ favourite
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X (Geteborg ne proigraet)
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
30%
28%
43%
0:1
Under 2.5
No
Total Under 2.5
Claude
30%
28%
42%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
1X (Geteborg ne proigraet)
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Goteborg30.8%31.0%
Draw27.5%27.3%draw risk
Gent41.8%41.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P231.0% / 27.3% / 41.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,569 / 1,757
Goteborg / Gent
RD270 / 161
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,029-2,109 / 1,436-2,078
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.20
Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%
X3.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
13.00
Fonbet · no value · model 31.0%
Double chance
121.27
Fonbet · no value · model 72.7%
1X1.60
Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%
X21.35
Fonbet · no value · model 69.0%
Handicap
2 -11.14
Fonbet · line only
2 +13.45
Fonbet · line only
2 01.63
Fonbet · line only
1 -14.70
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.88
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.51.82
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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