Hibernian go head-to-head with Shkendija on August 6, 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualifying.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hibernian 2-0-3, Shkendija 4-0-1. Full analysis β form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction β follows on this page.
π― PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Hibernian β 65%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Hibernian): model 42% Β· market 66%Ξ β24 ppmodel estimates below the market
65%1
1 Β· Hibernian ✓ Pick64.8%
market66%
X Β· draw21.7%
market22%
2 Β· Shkendija13.4%
market12%
Model estimate: win Hibernian 64.8%, draw 21.7%, win Shkendija 13.4%. Model favourite β Hibernian.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
π€AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Hibernian (odds2.45)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Khibernian π΄σ §σ ’σ ³σ £σ ΄σ Ώ: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
•edge over the line +9 pp β value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hibernian - Shkendija August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Hibernian. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 4.30 / 2 7.80
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
4 books
1 ✓ Pick66.3%
X21.5%
212.2%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.40β 1.40
1X2 X4.30β 4.30
1X2 P27.80β 7.80
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Hibernian
Rating 1624
Shkendija
Rating 1643
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 readyΒ· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 20:29 UTC
146%✓ favourite
X29%
225%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X and Over 1.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 20:33 UTC
147%✓ favourite
X26%
227%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:YesBet:Double chance 1X (Khibernian ne proigraet) pri kefe ot 1.40
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
46%
29%
25%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
1X and Over 1.5
Claude
47%
26%
27%
1:1
Under 3.5
Yes
Double chance 1X (Khibernian ne proigraet) pri kefe ot 1.40
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Hibernian66.3%64.8%market and model agree
Draw21.5%21.7%draw risk
Shkendija12.2%13.4%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P264.8% / 21.7% / 13.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
27.80
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 13.4%
X4.30
Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.40
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 64.8%
Double chance
121.18
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 78.3%
1X1.05
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 86.6%
X22.75
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 35.2%
Handicap
2 -12.10
Fonbet Β· line only
2 +12.09
market consensus Β· line only
2 05.30
Fonbet Β· line only
1 -11.65
Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.51.83
Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.51.87
Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No1.68
Fonbet Β· line only
Yes2.05
Fonbet Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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