Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Turkey. Superleague

30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Not started

Turkey. Superleague

Ilves 🇫🇮 - Styarnan 🇮🇸

Football

Ilves 🇫🇮

- : -

Not started

Styarnan 🇮🇸

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ilves 🇫🇮 — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ilves 🇫🇮): model 42% · market 55% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ilves 🇫🇮54.3%

X · draw24.0%

2 · Styarnan 🇮🇸21.8%

Model estimate: win Ilves 🇫🇮 54.3%, draw 24.0%, win Styarnan 🇮🇸 21.8%. Model favourite — Ilves 🇫🇮.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ilves 🇫🇮 (odds1.75) Score 1:0 Under 3 (odds1.75) confidence 50%

• Model backs Ilves 🇫🇮: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0
• Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 3 (odds 1.75).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilves 🇫🇮 - Styarnan 🇮🇸 July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilves 🇫🇮. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / X 3.85 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 55.0%

X 24.0%

2 21.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.78 ↓ 1.68

1X2 X 3.70 ↑ 3.85

1X2 P2 4.00 ↑ 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ilves 🇫🇮 2 : 1 Styarnan 🇮🇸

11.74

X3.99

24.61

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Ilves 🇫🇮 - Styarnan 🇮🇸

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ilves 🇫🇮 55.0% 54.3% market and model agree

Draw 24.0% 24.0% draw risk

Styarnan 🇮🇸 21.0% 21.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 54.3% / 24.0% / 21.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,682 / 1,702 Ilves 🇫🇮 / Styarnan 🇮🇸

RD 217 / 225 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,248-2,117 / 1,253-2,152 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 21.8%

X 3.85 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.68 Fonbet · no value · model 54.3%

Double chance

12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 76.0%

1X 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 78.2%

X2 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 45.7%

Handicap

2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.25 44.4%	2.26 44.3%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.23 81.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%
x2	2.07 48.3%	2.06 48.5%	2.05 48.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.19 45.7%
X	2.55 39.2%
	4.33 23.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5	2.29 43.7%
Under 1	2.32 43.1%
Under 1.5	1.58 63.3%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 1.0 gls

2026-07-23 · Ilves 0:1 Styarnan

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.82 (Winline) · X 3.9 (Betcity) · 2 4.4 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.78	3.7	4
Winline	1.82	3.8	4.2
Fonbet	1.78	3.7	4
Betcity	1.68	3.9	4.4
Liga Stavok	1.76	3.8	4.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Ilves 🇫🇮

L W D

23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Ilves 🇫🇮 0:1 Styarnan 🇮🇸

16.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Ilves 🇫🇮 3:1 Differdanzh (Lyuk)

08.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Ilves 🇫🇮 0:0 Differdanzh (Lyuk)

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.7 Conceded

4 Points

Styarnan 🇮🇸

W D W

23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Styarnan 🇮🇸 1:0 Ilves 🇫🇮

16.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Styarnan 🇮🇸 2:2 Vikingur (Far)

09.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Styarnan 🇮🇸 3:1 Vikingur (Far)

2 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlves 🇫🇮 - Styarnan 🇮🇸

Ilves 🇫🇮

1 matches total

Styarnan 🇮🇸

Ilves 🇫🇮: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Styarnan 🇮🇸: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Styarnan 🇮🇸 0:1 (23.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 23.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Ilves 🇫🇮

0:1

Styarnan 🇮🇸