Turkey. Superleague
Hibernian - Malishevo (Kos)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Hibernian — 74%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hibernian): model 37% · market 77% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hibernian 74.4%, draw 16.0%, win Malishevo (Kos) 9.7%. Model favourite — Hibernian.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hibernian - Malishevo (Kos) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 6.10 / 2 11.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Hibernian - Malishevo (Kos)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 4.00 25.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.05 24.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| X | 2.89 34.6% |
| 9.90 10.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Malishevo (Kos)
Malishevo (Kos)
Vlazniya 🇦🇱
Vlazniya 🇦🇱
Full head-to-head historyHibernian - Malishevo (Kos)
Overall statistics
Match history
Malishevo (Kos)
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The Hibernian - Malishevo (Kos) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form