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Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match
Not started

Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° - Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Football
Stadium Parken (Kopengagen, Denmark), vmestimost: 38065
Referee Marek Radina (Czechia)
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
- : -
Not started
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° β€” 58%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°): model 52% Β· market 58% Ξ” βˆ’6 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° ✓ Pick57.7%
X Β· draw23.3%
2 Β· Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦19.1%

Model estimate: win Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° 57.7%, draw 23.3%, win Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 19.1%. Model favourite β€” Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° (odds1.64) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • Model backs Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°: probability 56% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° - Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.00 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 ✓ Pick 58.0%
X 23.3%
2 18.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Parken (Kopengagen, Denmark), vmestimost: 38065
Referee Marek Radina (Czechia)
Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° - Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Football, Copenhagen - Polese, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Copenhagen - Polese, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Referees Line
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° 58.0% 57.7% market and model agree
Draw 23.3% 23.3% draw risk
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 18.7% 19.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 57.7% / 23.3% / 19.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,655 / 1,482 Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° / Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
RD 194 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,268-2,042 / 1,132-1,833 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.98 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 19.1%
X 3.97 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.60 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 57.7%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 76.7%
1X 1.14 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 80.9%
X2 2.20 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 42.3%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus Β· line only
2 +1 1.76 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 3.40 market consensus Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.69 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.13 47.0%
X 2.51 39.8%
4.71 21.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Rodrigo Khueskas Magnus Mattsson Dominik Sarapata Khunor Nemet Viktor Dadason Travmirovannye Gabriel Pereyra CHAMP
SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
D
23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° 3:3 Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
D
23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 3:3 Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° - Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
1 matches total
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: 0 (0%)
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 23.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (23.07 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.07 16:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
3:3
Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡°
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
Kopengagen πŸ‡©πŸ‡° Team comparison Polese πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
1 Games 1
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Scored 3
3 Conceded 3
1 Points 1
87 Attacks 107
37 Dangerous attacks 67
0 Big chances 0
11 Shots on goal 21
7 Udary v stvor 8
1 Games 1
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Scored 3
3 Conceded 3

Copenhagen Polese 1 Games 1 0 Wins 0 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 3 Scored 3 Conceded 3 1 Points 1 87 Attacks 107 37 Dangerous attacks 67 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 21 7 Udary v stvor 8 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 2 4 Offsaydy 1 13 Foly 8 50 % vladeniya myachom 50 2 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0