Turkey. Superleague
Skopje (w) - Nike (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Skopje (w) — 58%
Model estimate: win Skopje (w) 57.8%, draw 19.8%, win Nike (w) 22.4%. Model favourite — Skopje (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Koper 🇸🇮: probability 54% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
- • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Skopje (w) - Nike (w) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 4.50 / 2 5.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Skopje (w) - Nike (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.70 37.0% | 2.55 39.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 2.71 36.9% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
Full head-to-head historySkopje (w) - Nike (w)
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Skopje (w) - Nike (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form