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29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Turkey. Superleague
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด - Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
L
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
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๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด โ 52%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด): model 37% ยท market 54% ฮ โ17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด 52.3%, draw 24.1%, win Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ 23.6%. Model favourite โ Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด (odds1.74)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด - Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 4.00 / 2 4.11
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.1%
1
53.5%
X
23.6%
2
22.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด - Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
53.3%
52.3%
market and model agree
Draw
24.1%
24.1%
draw risk
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
22.6%
23.6%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
52.3% / 24.1% / 23.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,631 / 1,763
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด / Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
RD
189 / 188
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,253-2,009 / 1,387-2,138
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.00
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 23.6%
X
3.88
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.74
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 52.3%
Double chance
12
1.21
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.9%
1X
1.21
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 76.4%
X2
1.96
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 47.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5
2.03
market consensus ยท line only
2 +1
1.56
market consensus ยท line only
2 0
2.90
market consensus ยท line only
1 -0.5
1.73
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.81
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.82
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.36 42.4% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 4.61 21.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.05 48.8% |
Match center
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
L
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
0:2
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
W
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
2:0
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLudogorets ๐ง๐ด - Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
1
matches total
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ 0:2 (23.07 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 23.07 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Ludogorets ๐ง๐ด
0:2
Khapoel Tel-Aviv ๐ฎ๐ฑ
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