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Turkey. Superleague
Turkey. Superleague
29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Turkey. Superleague

Noah - Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©

Football
N
Noah
- : -
Not started
Z
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Noah β€” 71%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Noah): model 48% Β· market 73% Ξ” βˆ’25 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Noah ✓ Pick71.1%
market73%
X Β· draw18.0%
market17%
2 Β· Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©10.9%
market10%

Model estimate: win Noah 71.1%, draw 18.0%, win Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡© 10.9%. Model favourite β€” Noah.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Noah - Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡© July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Noah. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.40 / 2 9.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 ✓ Pick 73.0%
X 17.3%
2 9.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Noah - Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Noah 72.6% 71.1% market and model agree
Draw 17.6% 18.0% draw risk
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡© 9.8% 10.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.1% / 18.0% / 10.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,645 / 1,540 Noah / Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©
RD 188 / 270 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,268-2,021 / 1,000-2,080 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.45 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 10.9%
X 5.25 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.28 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 71.1%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 82.0%
1X 1.03 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 89.1%
X2 3.40 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 28.9%
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.64 61.0%
yes 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 3.40 29.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.76 56.8%
X 2.49 40.2%
9.10 11.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Noah
D
23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Noah 1:1 Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©
D
23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡© 1:1 Noa πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNoah - Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©

Noah
1 matches total
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©
Noah: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©: 0 (0%)
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 23.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (23.07 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Noa πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²
1:1
Zimbru πŸ‡²πŸ‡©