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Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ - Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ

Football
Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ
Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ
- : -
Not started
T
Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ

Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ go head-to-head with Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ on August 6, 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualifying.

Recent form (W-D-L): Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 0-1-0, Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 0-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ β€” 69%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ): model 56% Β· market 70% Ξ” βˆ’14 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ ✓ Pick68.9%
market70%
X Β· draw19.1%
market19%
2 Β· Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ12.1%
market11%

Model estimate: win Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 68.9%, draw 19.1%, win Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 12.1%. Model favourite β€” Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ (odds1.98) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ - Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.10 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books Β· best price +1.5%
1 ✓ Pick 69.7%
X 18.8%
2 11.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 20:20 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 17%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 20:24 UTC
1 59% ✓ favourite
X 24%
2 17%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X (double chance na Partizan), usilenie β€” Under 3.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 55% 28% 17% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 59% 24% 17% 1:0 Under 3.5 No 1X (double chance na Partizan), usilenie β€” Under 3.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 70.2% @ 1.35 / X 18.6% @ 5.10 / 2 11.2% @ 8.50
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ€– 7 AI models Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 57%
πŸ“ Math model Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
Match center

Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ - Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 69.7% 68.9% market and model agree
Draw 18.8% 19.1% draw risk
Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 11.5% 12.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 68.9% / 19.1% / 12.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,799 / 1,492 Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ / Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ
RD 178 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,442-2,155 / 992-1,991 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.83 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 12.1%
X 4.96 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.33 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 68.9%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 80.9%
1X 1.05 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 87.9%
X2 3.00 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 31.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.07 93.5%
x2 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.81 55.3%
X 2.51 39.8%
7.60 13.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Under 1 2.32 43.1%
Match center
Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ
D
30.07 18:15 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Partizan πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ 0:0 UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ
D
30.07 12:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Tobyl πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 1:1 Panevezhis πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points