Partizan Beograd go head-to-head with Tobyl π°πΏ on August 6, 2026 in the Turkey. Superleague.
Recent form (W-D-L): Partizan Beograd 0-1-0, Tobyl π°πΏ 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
π― PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Partizan Beograd β 69%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Partizan Beograd): model 56% Β· market 70%Ξ β14 ppmodel estimates below the market
69%1
1 Β· Partizan Beograd ✓ Pick68.9%
market70%
X Β· draw19.1%
market19%
2 Β· Tobyl π°πΏ12.1%
market11%
Model estimate: win Partizan Beograd 68.9%, draw 19.1%, win Tobyl π°πΏ 12.1%. Model favourite β Partizan Beograd.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
π€AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Partizan Beograd (odds1.98)Score 2:1confidence 50%
•Model backs Partizan π·πΈ: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
•no edge over the line (-0 pp) β informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Partizan Beograd - Tobyl π°πΏ August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Partizan Beograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 readyΒ· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 20:20 UTC
155%✓ favourite
X28%
217%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 20:24 UTC
159%✓ favourite
X24%
217%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:1X (double chance na Partizan), usilenie β Under 3.5
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
55%
28%
17%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
1X and Under 2.5
Claude
59%
24%
17%
1:0
Under 3.5
No
1X (double chance na Partizan), usilenie β Under 3.5
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Partizan Beograd69.7%68.9%market and model agree
Draw18.8%19.1%draw risk
Tobyl π°πΏ11.5%12.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P268.9% / 19.1% / 12.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,799 / 1,492
Partizan Beograd / Tobyl π°πΏ
RD178 / 250
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,442-2,155 / 992-1,991
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
27.83
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 12.1%
X4.96
market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.33
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 68.9%
Double chance
121.14
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 80.9%
1X1.05
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 87.9%
X23.00
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 31.1%
Total
Over 2.51.66
market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.52.10
market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No1.77
market consensus Β· line only
Yes1.98
market consensus Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
1.7756.5%
yes
1.9850.5%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.1487.7%
1.1388.5%
1x
1.0397.1%
1.0793.5%
x2
3.1032.3%
2.9034.5%
First Half Winner
Outcome
Leon
1.8155.3%
X
2.5139.8%
7.6013.2%
Goals Over/Under First Half
Outcome
Leon
Over 1
1.5664.1%
Under 1
2.3243.1%
Match center
Partizan Beograd
D
30.07 18:15 UTCEurope: Conference League - Qualifying
Partizan Beograd0:0UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
0Wins
1Draws
0Losses
0.0Scored
0.0Conceded
1Points
Tobyl π°πΏ
D
30.07 12:00 UTCEurope: Conference League - Qualifying
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UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)