Turkey. Superleague
Pyunik π¦π² - Debreceni VSC
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Pyunik π¦π² β 45%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Pyunik π¦π²): model 42% Β· market 45% Ξ β3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Pyunik π¦π² 45.2%, draw 28.6%, win Debreceni VSC 26.2%. Model favourite β Pyunik π¦π².
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Pyunik π¦π²: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
- • edge over the line +2 pp β value pick
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.65)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.47).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Pyunik π¦π² - Debreceni VSC July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.03 / X 3.20 / 2 3.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Pyunik π¦π² - Debreceni VSC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.70 58.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.89 34.6% | |
| X | 2.03 49.3% |
| 4.13 24.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
Full head-to-head historyPyunik π¦π² - Debreceni VSC
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Pyunik π¦π² - Debreceni VSC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form