Turkey. Superleague
Son π¨π - BATE π§πΎ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Son π¨π β 57%
Model estimate: win Son π¨π 56.7%, draw 20.1%, win BATE π§πΎ 23.2%. Model favourite β Son π¨π.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Son π¨π - BATE π§πΎ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Son π¨π - BATE π§πΎ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.02 98.0% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 6.00 16.7% | 7.30 13.7% | 6.80 14.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% |
| 13.70 7.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
Full head-to-head historySon π¨π - BATE π§πΎ
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form