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Turkey. Superleague
Turkey. Superleague
30.07.2026 16:15 UTC
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Turkey. Superleague

UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) - Partizan Beograd

Football
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
- : -
Not started
P
Partizan Beograd
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Partizan Beograd59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Partizan Beograd): model 45% · market 60% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)18.1%
market17%
X · draw22.8%
market23%
2 · Partizan Beograd ✓ Pick59.1%
market60%

Model estimate: win UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 18.1%, draw 22.8%, win Partizan Beograd 59.1%. Model favourite — Partizan Beograd.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Partizan Beograd (odds1.56) Score 0:1 Under 3 (odds1.68) confidence 50%
  • Model backs Partizan 🇷🇸: probability 50% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1
  • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 3 (odds 1.68).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) - Partizan Beograd July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Partizan Beograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.40 / X 4.10 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 17.2%
X 22.7%
2 ✓ Pick 60.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.40 → 5.40
1X2 X 4.10 → 4.10
1X2 P2 1.55 → 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 1 : 4 Partizan Beograd
15.59
X4.25
21.59

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated29.07.2026 17:21 UTC
1 15%
X 27%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-1
Claude updated29.07.2026 17:33 UTC
1 18%
X 24%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 3.5
Qwen updated29.07.2026 17:30 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated29.07.2026 17:49 UTC
1 15%
X 25%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 4-0

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 15% 27% 58% 0:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Claude 18% 24% 58% 0:1 Under 3.5 No Under 3.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 15% 25% 60% 0:2 Over 2.5 No X2

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:15 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Partizan Beograd 46%
📐 Math model Partizan Beograd 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) - Partizan Beograd

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 17.3% 18.1%
Draw 22.8% 22.8% draw risk
Partizan Beograd 60.0% 59.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 18.1% / 22.8% / 59.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,573 / 1,831 UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) / Partizan Beograd
RD 217 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,138-2,007 / 1,447-2,216 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 59.1%
X 4.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.40 Fonbet · no value · model 18.1%
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 77.2%
1X 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
X2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 81.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0%
1x 2.33 42.9% 2.23 44.8% 2.30 43.5%
x2 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.30 18.9%
X 2.46 40.7%
2.06 48.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Under 1 2.32 43.1%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6 (Winline) · X 4.9 (Winline) · 2 1.58 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.3 4.05 1.55
Winline 6 4.9 1.46
Fonbet 5.3 4.05 1.55
Betcity 5 4 1.58
Source: ruscore · line comparison
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
L W W
23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 0:4 Partizan 🇷🇸
14.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 2:0 La-Fiorita (San)La-Fiorita (San)
05.07 15:15 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) 1:0 La-Fiorita (San)La-Fiorita (San)
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Partizan Beograd
W
23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Partizan Beograd 4:0 UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUNA Shtrassen (Lyuk) - Partizan Beograd

UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
1 matches total
Partizan Beograd
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Partizan Beograd: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Partizan 🇷🇸 0:4 (23.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 23.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
UNA Shtrassen (Lyuk)
0:4
Partizan 🇷🇸