Turkey. Superleague
Jablonec - Rigas FS
Jablonec take on Rigas FS on August 6, 2026 in the Turkey. Superleague.
Recent form (W-D-L): Jablonec 4-0-1, Rigas FS 4-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Jablonec — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Jablonec): model 44% · market 54% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Jablonec 53.6%, draw 25.4%, win Rigas FS 21.0%. Model favourite — Jablonec.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Yablonets 🇨🇿: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jablonec - Rigas FS August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 3.65 / 2 4.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 48% | 26% | 26% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | 1X and Under 3.5 |
| Claude | 45% | 28% | 27% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | No | 1X (double chance na Yablonets) pri |
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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Jablonec - Rigas FS
football, Yablonets - RFSh, 6 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Yablonets - RFSh, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 5.10 19.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.7 | 3.65 | 4.6 |
| Winline | 1.51 | 4.2 | 6.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.7 | 3.65 | 4.6 |
| Betcity | 1.72 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.46 | 4.2 | 6.6 |
Jablonec
Rigas FS
Full head-to-head historyJablonec - Rigas FS
Match history
Yablonets RFSh 2 Games 4 1 Wins 3 0 Draws 1 Losses 0 4 Scored 9 3 Conceded 3 Points 10 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12.5 Shots on goal 9.25 4.5 Udary v stvor 4.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 5.75 3 Offsaydy 1.5 14.5 Foly 12 43.5 % vladeniya myachom 56 1.5 Warnings 1.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Lyubosh Kozel Glavnye trenery Viktor Moroz Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 29% 0% 71% Double chance 15% 49% 36% Materialy po prognozam «Yablonets» — «Fastav». Prognoz: Khyubshman and Dolezhal razdelayut eks-sopernika «Lokomotiva» CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321518' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form