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Turkey. Superleague
Turkey. Superleague
29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Turkey. Superleague

Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ - Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ

Football
Z
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ
- : -
Not started
P
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ β€” 75%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ): model 40% Β· market 77% Ξ” βˆ’37 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ ✓ Pick74.6%
market77%
X Β· draw16.7%
market16%
2 Β· Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ8.7%
market7%

Model estimate: win Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ 74.6%, draw 16.7%, win Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 8.7%. Model favourite β€” Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ (odds1.20) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds2.05) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds2.10) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ: probability 50% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.20)
  • • no edge over the line (-33 pp) β€” informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 2.05)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.10).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ - Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 5.70 / 2 12.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 ✓ Pick 76.5%
X 16.1%
2 7.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.20 β†’ 1.20
1X2 X 5.70 β†’ 5.70
1X2 P2 12.50 β†’ 12.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ - Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ 76.8% 74.6% market and model agree
Draw 16.2% 16.7% draw risk
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 7.0% 8.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 74.6% / 16.7% / 8.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,674 / 1,745 Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ / Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ
RD 226 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,221-2,126 / 1,307-2,184 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.70 Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.20 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 74.6%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 83.3%
X2 4.05 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 25.4%
Handicap
2 -1 3.10 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 8.50 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.30 Fonbet Β· line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
x2 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.61 62.1%
X 2.67 37.5%
11.90 8.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Under 1 2.27 44.1%
Match center
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ
L W W
23.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ 0:1 Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ
16.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ 3:0 Torpedo Kutaisi πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ
08.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ 3:0 Torpedo Kutaisi πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
6 Points
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ
W W D
23.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 1:0 Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ
16.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 3:0 Khegelmann πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή
09.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 1:1 Khegelmann πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ - Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ

Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ
1 matches total
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ 0:1 (23.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 23.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ
0:1
Payde πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ