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29.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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Turkey. Superleague
Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
Z
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
-
:
-
Not started
V
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Zrinski Mostar (Big) โ 75%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Zrinski Mostar (Big)): model 42% ยท market 78% ฮ โ36 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Zrinski Mostar (Big) 75.0%, draw 16.2%, win Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ 8.8%. Model favourite โ Zrinski Mostar (Big).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Zrinski Mostar (Big). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.20 / 2 13.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 ✓ Pick
77.8%
X
15.1%
2
7.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
1
:
2
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
77.1%
75.0%
market and model agree
Draw
15.7%
16.2%
draw risk
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
7.2%
8.8%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
75.0% / 16.2% / 8.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,701 / 1,731
Zrinski Mostar (Big) / Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
RD
214 / 287
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,272-2,129 / 1,158-2,305
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
5.97
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.20
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.0%
Double chance
12
1.10
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 83.8%
X2
4.10
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 25.0%
Both teams to score
No
1.64
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
2.17
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 2.17 46.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| X | 2.80 35.7% |
| 10.90 9.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Match center
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
L
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
0:1
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
W
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
1:0
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyZrinski Mostar (Big) - Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
1
matches total
Zrinski Mostar (Big): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ 0:1 (23.07 17:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 23.07 17:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
0:1
Valyur ๐ฎ๐ธ
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