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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Breidablik (w) - Aktobe (w)

Football
Breidablik (w)
Breidablik (w)
0 : 0
Finished
Aktobe (w)
Aktobe (w)

Breidablik (w) go head-to-head with Aktobe (w) on August 4, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Recent form (W-D-L): Breidablik (w) 4-0-1, Aktobe (w) 0-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 21% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Aktobe (w)60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Aktobe (w)): model 54% · market 10% Δ +44 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Breidablik (w)21.3%
market16%
X · draw18.7%
market74%
2 · Aktobe (w) ✓ Pick60.0%
market10%

Model estimate: win Breidablik (w) 21.3%, draw 18.7%, win Aktobe (w) 60.0%. Model favourite — Aktobe (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Aktobe (w) (odds2.04) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Aktobe (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Breidablik (w) - Aktobe (w) August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / X 1.22 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Breidablik (w) 21.3% / X 18.7% / Aktobe (w) 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 16.3%
X 73.7%
2 ✓ Pick 10.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
Best price across 12 books
1 1.59 1xBet
X 4.50 William Hill
2 5.00 William Hill

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 16.3% @ 5.50 / X 73.7% @ 1.22 / 2 10.0% @ 9.00
Match center

Breidablik (w) - Aktobe (w)

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Breydablik (zh) - Aktobe (zh), 4 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala. Breydablik (zh) - Aktobe (zh), kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 60.0% fact: draw missed / Brier 1.067 / LogLoss 1.678
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 60.0% fact: draw missed / Brier 1.067 / LogLoss 1.678
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Breidablik (w) - 21.3%
Draw - 18.7% draw risk
Aktobe (w) - 60.0% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 21.3% / 18.7% / 60.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,755 / 2,108 Breidablik (w) / Aktobe (w)
RD 167 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,421-2,089 / 1,719-2,497 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +440.2% · model 60.0%
X 1.22 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 21.3%
Double chance
12 3.45 Fonbet · weak value +180.6% · model 81.3%
1X 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 40.0%
X2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 78.7%
Handicap
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.45 29.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.10 90.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.15 31.8%
1.42 70.4%
1.30 76.9%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.50 18.2%
X 1.22 82.0%
9.00 11.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-04 · Breydablik (Zh) 1:1 Aktobe (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Match stats

3 Cards total 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
2 Substitutions 3
Source: ruscore
Breidablik (w)
W W W L W
2026-07-29 Besta deild, Women 2026
Breidablik (w) Breidablik (w) 2:0 Thor Akureyri (w)
2026-07-21 Besta deild, Women 2026
Breidablik (w) Valur Reykjavik (w) 1:7 Breidablik (w)
2026-07-15 Besta deild, Women 2026
Breidablik (w) Breidablik (w) 4:1 Vikingur Reykjavik (w)
2026-07-09 Besta deild, Women 2026
Breidablik (w) Fram (w) 3:2 Breidablik (w)
2026-06-22 Besta deild, Women 2026
Breidablik (w) IBV Vestmannaeyjar (w) 0:3 Breidablik (w)
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Aktobe (w)
L L
2025-08-30 UEFA Champions League, Women 25/26, Qualification
Nordsjaelland (w) 4:2 Aktobe (w) Aktobe (w)
2025-08-27 UEFA Champions League, Women 25/26, Qualification
Roma (w) 2:0 Aktobe (w) Aktobe (w)
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Breidablik (w)
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Aktobe (w)
Breidablik (w) Team comparison Aktobe (w)
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
ezhdeniya 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Yekaterina Babshuk 0:1 12' Katelyn Duong 1 16' Poslematchevye penalti 0:1 0:2
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Breydablik (zh) Aktobe (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Yekaterina Babshuk 0:1 12' Katelyn Duong 1 16' Poslematchevye penalti 0:1 0:2 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 42% 19% 39% Double chance 31% 40% 29% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328718' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings