Champions League UEFA. Women. Qualifying stage. 2nd round. Semi-finals
Hammarby (w) - Apoloniya Fieri (Zh)
Hammarby (w) face Apoloniya Fieri (Zh) on August 5, 2026 in the Champions League UEFA. Women. Qualifying stage. 2nd round. Semi-finals.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 86% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Hammarby (w) — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hammarby (w)): model 60% · market 89% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hammarby (w) 86.4%, draw 9.3%, win Apoloniya Fieri (Zh) 4.3%. Model favourite — Hammarby (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khammarbyu (Zh): probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hammarby (w) - Apoloniya Fieri (Zh) August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Hammarby (w) 86.4% / X 9.3% / Apoloniya Fieri (Zh) 4.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Champions League WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 80% | 13% | 7% | 4:0 | Over 3.5 | No | Handicap Khammarbyu (Zh) -2.5 |
| Claude | 89% | 7% | 4% | 3:0 | Over 2.5 | No | ITB1 Over 2.5 (Khammarbyu zabet 3+) |
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Hammarby (w) - Apoloniya Fieri (Zh)
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Khammarbyu (zh) - Apoloniya (zh), 5 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala. Khammarbyu (zh) - Apoloniya (zh), kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 8.50 11.8% | 2.48 40.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 9.90 10.1% | 6.80 14.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| X | 5.40 18.5% |
| 21.00 4.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 2 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 2 | 1.84 54.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.03 | 16 | 31 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.03 | 11 | 22 |
Match stats
Hammarby (w)
Apoloniya Fieri (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyHammarby (w) - Apoloniya Fieri (Zh)
Match history
Khammarbyu (zh) Apoloniya (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mari Rosendal Nyhagen 1:0 41' Elin Aahgren Soerum 2:0 45' Mathilde Janzen 3:0 57' Katiele 4:0 73' Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 62% 30% 8% Double chance 46% 35% 19% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328724' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form