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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Mura (Zh) - Farul Constanta (w)

Football
M
Mura (Zh)
- : -
Not started
F
Farul Constanta (w)

Mura (Zh) face Farul Constanta (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mura (Zh) — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mura (Zh)):model 34% · market 49% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mura (Zh)48.5%
X · draw24.7%
2 · Farul Constanta (w)26.7%

Model estimate: win Mura (Zh) 48.5%, draw 24.7%, win Farul Constanta (w) 26.7%. Model favourite — Mura (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Farul Constanta (w) (odds2.30) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Farul (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mura (Zh) - Farul Constanta (w) August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mura (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.82 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books · best price +2.8%
1 49.5%
X 24.9%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 50.1% @ 1.87 / X 24.5% @ 3.82 / 2 25.3% @ 3.70
Match center

Mura (Zh) - Farul Constanta (w)

football, Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mura (Zh) 49.5% 48.5% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
Farul Constanta (w) 25.6% 26.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.5% / 24.7% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,708 Mura (Zh) / Farul Constanta (w)
RD 350 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,111-2,305 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.57 market consensus · no value · model 26.7%
X 3.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 48.5%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
X2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 51.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.68 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.83 54.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.42 41.3%
X 2.44 41.0%
4.07 24.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mura (Zh)LLLWLWLLWW
Farul Constanta (w)WWWWWWWLDD
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.77 (Pari) · X 3.7 (Pari) · 2 3.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.77 3.7 3.6
Fonbet 1.77 3.7 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Mura (Zh)
D D D
30.08.2025 Championat
Mura (Zh) 30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 0 : 2 GKS Katovitse (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Final
27.08.2025 Championat
Mura (Zh) 27.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 3 : 2 Spartak Miyava (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
26.09.2024 Championat
Mura (Zh) 26.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 0 : 5 Sankt-Pelten (zh) 4-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
Farul Constanta (w)
D D D
19.09.2024 Championat
19.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Sankt-Pelten (zh) 3 : 0 Mura (zh) 4-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match Farul Constanta (w)
07.09.2024 Championat
07.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 2 : 3 Mura (zh) 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund 2 Wins 0 Draws 3 Losses 1.2 Scored 2.8 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki 0 +2 +1 +2 0 +1 -4 0 -2 -1 -3 -4 15 30 45 60 75 Farul Constanta (w)
30.08.2025 Championat
30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Lanchkhuti (zh) Farul Constanta (w)
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Mura (Zh)
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Farul Constanta (w)
Mura (Zh) Team comparison Farul Constanta (w)
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Mura (zh) Farul (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328706' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings