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PSG — Aston Villa

Football 12.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Favourite PSG best odds 1.76

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Europe: Super Cup Uefa
Europe: Super Cup Uefa
Final 12.08.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
12.08.2026 19:00 UTC Final
Finished

Europe: Super Cup Uefa

PSG vs Aston Villa — Football prediction

Football
PSG
PSG
2 : 1
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

PSG take on Aston Villa on August 12, 2026 in the Europe: Super Cup Uefa.

Recent form (W-D-L): PSG 1-2-2, Aston Villa 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — PSG or draw 1.15

Model confidence 86% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1PSG (odds1.76) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.90) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs PSZh: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PSG - Aston Villa August 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: PSG. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 4.09 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0% 5 books · best price +2.3%
1 55.7%
X 24.2%
2 20.1%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
31 np Leon Beyli pz Yokhan Manzambi 24 pz Amadu Onana

Source: championat

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
PSG
56%
1.76
Draw
24%
16.00
Aston Villa
20%
100.00
Handicap
PSG (0)
67%
1.68
Aston Villa (0)
33%
3.60
Total
Over 9.5
49%
1.91
Under 9.5
51%
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
39%
6.75
No
61%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

PSG 2 : 2 Aston Villa
11.66
X4.47
25.33

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Red Bull Arena (Zaltsburg, Austria), 27 681 zritel (87% pri vmestimosti 31 895)
Referee Omar Abdulkadir Artan (Mogadisho, Somali)
Start 12.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 68.4% @ 1.03 / X 17.2% @ 4.09 / 2 14.4% @ 4.90
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Match center

PSG - Aston Villa

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi PSZh - Aston Villa, 12 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Super Cup UEFA 2026, Final. PSZh - Aston Villa, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.1% fact: home hit / ROI 76.0% / Brier 0.303 / LogLoss 0.596
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.1% fact: home hit / ROI 76.0% / Brier 0.303 / LogLoss 0.596
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.86 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.70 58.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.01 49.8%
yes 2.15 46.5% 6.75 14.8% 6.75 14.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.13 47.0% 12.00 8.3% 1.56 64.1% 1.56 64.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
X 2.33 42.9%
4.84 20.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Under 1 2.10 47.6%
Match center
PSG

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Aston Villa
LB Leon Beyli np
AO Amadu Onana pz
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-08-12 · PSZh 2:1 Aston Villa
2025-04-15 · PSZh 2:3 Aston Villa
2025-04-09 · PSZh 3:1 Aston Villa
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.8 (Betcity) · X 3.95 (Winline) · 2 4.6 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.78 3.9 4.4
Winline 1.79 3.95 4.6
Fonbet 1.78 3.9 4.4
Betcity 1.8 3.9 4.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

58 Ball possession 42
9 Vsego udarov 14
5 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 7
12 Udary ot vorot 4
1 Blokirovannye udary 3
12 Shtrafnye 12
0 Corners 2
2 Offsides 0
10 Auty 30
3 Saves 3
11 Fouls 13
0 Cards total 3
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
PSG
D L D L W
2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026
PSG PSG 1:1 Manchester United
2026-08-05 Club Friendly Games 2026
PSG Mallorca 3:0 PSG
2026-05-30 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage
PSG PSG 1:1 Arsenal
2026-05-17 Ligue 1 25/26
PSG Paris FC 2:1 PSG
2026-05-13 Ligue 1 25/26
PSG Lens 0:2 PSG
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Aston Villa
L W W L L
2026-08-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
Aston Villa 1:2 Bayern Aston Villa
2026-08-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
BG Pathum United 1:3 Aston Villa Aston Villa
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Indonesia XI 1:3 Aston Villa Aston Villa
2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026
Aston Villa 2:4 Real Sociedad Aston Villa
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Porto 2:1 Aston Villa Aston Villa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: PSG - Aston Villa

PSG
0 matches total
Aston Villa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 PSG
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Aston Villa
PSG Team comparison Aston Villa
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khvicha Kvaratskheliya Dezire Due 1:0 20' Brayan Madzho Dzhon Makginn 1 45' Dezire Due Usman Dembele 2:1 61' Nakazaniya Pau Torres 51' Zhoao Gomes 64' Dzhon Makginn 72'

PSZh Aston Villa 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khvicha Kvaratskheliya Dezire Due 1:0 20' Brayan Madzho Dzhon Makginn 1 45' Dezire Due Usman Dembele 2:1 61' Nakazaniya Pau Torres 51' Zhoao Gomes 64' Dzhon Makginn 72'

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for PSG vs Aston Villa?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to PSG. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for PSG vs Aston Villa?

Live odds for PSG vs Aston Villa from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does PSG vs Aston Villa start?

August 12, 2026.