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FA Cup
FA Cup England
04.04.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

FA Cup

England

Chelsea - Port Vale

England Football
Stadium Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Chelsea
7 : 0
Finished
Port Vale
Port Vale

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Port Vale April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / X 12.50 / 2 28.09
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 88.6% / X 7.8% / Port Vale 3.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 77.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 89.1%
X 7.6%
2 3.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 77.4%
Under 2.5 22.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Port Vale

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.37 market consensus · line only
1 1.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 8.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.03 market consensus · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 6.08 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6%
X 11.00 9.1% 12.50 8.0% 17.00 5.9% 10.00 10.0% 15.00 6.7% 11.00 9.1%
29.00 3.5% 26.00 3.9% 41.00 2.4% 19.00 5.3% 26.00 3.9% 30.00 3.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 8.50 11.8% 10.50 9.5% 6.50 15.4% 11.00 9.1% 9.00 11.1% 8.50 11.8%
home_away 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.06 94.3% — —
Over 2.5 1.20 83.3% — —
Over 3.5 1.55 64.5% — —
Over 3.75 — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 4.0 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 4.5 2.25 44.4% — —
Over 5.5 3.60 27.8% — —
Over 6.5 6.25 16.0% — —
Under 1.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 2.5 4.33 23.1% — —
Under 3.5 2.40 41.7% — —
Under 3.75 — 2.05 48.8% —
Under 4.0 — 2.00 50.0% —
Under 4.5 1.62 61.7% — —
Under 5.5 1.28 78.1% — —
Under 6.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Port Vale

Chelsea
0 matches total
Port Vale
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history