PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
FA Cup
FA Cup England
04.04.2026 11:45 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 11:45 UTC
Finished

FA Cup

England

Manchester City - Liverpool

England Football
Stadium Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Manchester City
4 : 0
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Liverpool April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.95 / 2 3.99
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 52.5% / X 23.9% / Liverpool 23.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 52.7%
X 23.8%
2 23.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 61.6%
Under 2.5 38.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.04.2026 11:45 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Liverpool

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.25 23.5% 4.19 23.9% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%
4.20 23.8% 3.95 25.3% 4.34 23.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.41 41.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% — 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5% — —
Over 3.0 — 1.89 52.9% —
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6% — —
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3% — —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% — —
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1% — —
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7% — —
Under 3.0 — 2.01 49.8% —
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7% — —
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0% — —
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6% — —