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Finland: First Division Standings
Finland: First Division Standings
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Finland: First Division Standings

Dzhaz Pori - KuPS Akatemiya

Football
D
Dzhaz Pori
- : -
Not started
K
KuPS Akatemiya
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dzhaz Pori53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dzhaz Pori): model 55% · market 52% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dzhaz Pori52.9%
X · draw22.3%
2 · KuPS Akatemiya24.8%

Model estimate: win Dzhaz Pori 52.9%, draw 22.3%, win KuPS Akatemiya 24.8%. Model favourite — Dzhaz Pori.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dzhaz Pori (odds1.85) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Dzhaz Pori: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dzhaz Pori - KuPS Akatemiya July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dzhaz Pori.

Line favourite market consensus: Dzhaz Pori. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.03 / 2 3.63
  • 1X2 market: Dzhaz Pori 52.3% / X 22.6% / KuPS Akatemiya 25.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 52.3%
X 22.6%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.50 ↑ 30.00
1X2 X 4.50 ↑ 6.00
1X2 P2 1.45 ↓ 1.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dzhaz Pori 3 : 1 KuPS Akatemiya
11.73
X3.94
23.74

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Dzhaz Pori 53%
💹 Market Dzhaz Pori 5234%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dzhaz Pori - KuPS Akatemiya

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dzhaz Pori 52.7% 52.9% market and model agree
Draw 22.4% 22.3% draw risk
KuPS Akatemiya 24.9% 24.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.9% / 22.3% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,598 / 1,402 Dzhaz Pori / KuPS Akatemiya
RD 173 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,252-1,944 / 1,020-1,783 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.63 market consensus · no value · model 24.8%
X 4.04 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 52.9%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.7%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.2%
X2 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 47.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.20 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.94 25.4% 4.20 23.8% 3.95 25.3% 4.33 23.1% 4.10 24.4% 3.94 25.4%
3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.65 27.4% 3.72 26.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.99 33.4%
yes 1.34 74.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 26.00 3.9%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 26.00 3.9%
0_3 50.00 2.0%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 12.00 8.3%
1_1 8.50 11.8%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 20.00 5.0%
1_4 50.00 2.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-2, avg 3.6 gls
2026-05-09 · Dzhaz 2:1 KuPS Akademiya
2025-07-16 · Dzhaz 2:1 KuPS Akademiya
2025-04-20 · Dzhaz 1:2 KuPS Akademiya
2024-06-29 · Dzhaz 0:2 KuPS Akademiya
2024-04-27 · Dzhaz 6:1 KuPS Akademiya
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Betcity) · X 4.2 (Winline) · 2 3.65 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.7 4.15 3.6
Winline 1.73 4.2 3.65
Fonbet 1.7 4.15 3.6
Betcity 1.85 4.1 3.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dzhaz Pori
W W L L D
24.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Dzhaz Pori 4:0 TPV
18.07 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Dzhaz Pori 3:1 YYK YyuvyaskyulyaYYK Yyuvyaskyulya
11.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Dzhaz Pori 1:2 Keski-Uusimaa
02.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Dzhaz Pori 0:1 KPV
12.06 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Dzhaz Pori 1:1 Inter Turku 2
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
KuPS Akatemiya
W L D L L
26.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
KuPS Akatemiya 2:1 VYaSVYaS
18.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
KuPS Akatemiya 1:3 TPV
11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
KuPS Akatemiya 4:4 YYK YyuvyaskyulyaYYK Yyuvyaskyulya
04.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
KuPS Akatemiya 2:3 Tampere YunaytedTampere Yunayted
12.06 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
KuPS Akatemiya 3:4 SalPa SaloSalPa Salo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
2.4 Scored
3.0 Conceded
4 Points