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Finland: First Division Standings
Finland: First Division Standings
31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Finland: First Division Standings

PK Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United

Football
PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa
0 : 0
Finished
Tampere United
Tampere United
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tampere United48%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tampere United): model 42% · market 48% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · PK Keski-Uusimaa27.0%
X · draw24.8%
2 · Tampere United48.2%

Model estimate: win PK Keski-Uusimaa 27.0%, draw 24.8%, win Tampere United 48.2%. Model favourite — Tampere United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tampere United (odds2.06) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Tampere Yunayted: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.06)
  • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PK Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tampere United.

Strongest: Tampere United - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.64 / 2 1.87
  • 1X2 market: PK Keski-Uusimaa 26.7% / X 24.9% / Tampere United 48.4%
  • Glicko: PK Keski-Uusimaa 27.0% / X 24.8% / Tampere United 48.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 26.7%
X 24.9%
2 48.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ykkönen
League table
PK Keski-Uusimaa
#625 ptsGP 167-4-529:22
ARRAY
Tampere United
#135 ptsGP 1611-2-331:11
ARRAY
Best price across 10 books
1 3.68 1xBet
X 3.90 Bet365
2 2.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
PK Keski-Uusimaa
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.00 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.93 xGA 1.74
Tampere United
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 2.09 Conceded 0.51 xG 2.02 xGA 1.35

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
PK Keski-Uusimaa
Rating 1499 xG 1.10 Win 24%
Tampere United
Rating 1585 xG 1.71 Win 52%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

PK Keski-Uusimaa 1 : 1 Tampere United
13.64
X3.60
21.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 26.7% @ 3.40 / X 24.9% @ 3.64 / 2 48.5% @ 1.87
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tampere United 48%
💹 Market Tampere United 4841%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

PK Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.871 / LogLoss 1.394
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.871 / LogLoss 1.394
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
PK Keski-Uusimaa 26.4% 27.0%
Draw 25.0% 24.8% draw risk
Tampere United 48.7% 48.2% market and model agree
xG - 1.10 : 1.71
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.0% / 24.8% / 48.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,573 / 1,738 PK Keski-Uusimaa / Tampere United
RD 171 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,231-1,916 / 1,353-2,124 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 48.2%
X 1.55 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 27.0%
Double chance
12 2.25 Fonbet · weak value +69.2% · model 75.2%
1X 6.00 Fonbet · weak value +210.6% · model 51.8%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +520.9% · model 73.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
3.64 27.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 5.50 18.2% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.10 90.9% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 2.25 44.4%
1x 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 6.00 16.7%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 8.50 11.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 13.50 7.4%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 9.50 10.5%
0_3 15.00 6.7%
0_4 36.00 2.8%
0_5 90.00 1.1%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 11.00 9.1%
1_4 23.00 4.4%
1_5 80.00 1.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-4-0, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-31 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 4:4 Tampere Yunayted
2026-05-09 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 0:0 Tampere Yunayted
2025-08-10 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 0:0 Tampere Yunayted
2025-06-01 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 2:2 Tampere Yunayted
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.35 (Pari) · X 3.9 (Betcity) · 2 2.27 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.35 3.7 1.85
Winline 2.65 3.85 2.19
Fonbet 3.35 3.7 1.85
Betcity 2.6 3.9 2.27
Liga Stavok 2.65 3.85 2.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
PK Keski-Uusimaa
W L D W L
2026-07-25 Ykkonen 2026
PK Keski-Uusimaa SalPa 0:1 PK Keski-Uusimaa
2026-07-22 Ykkonen 2026
PK Keski-Uusimaa PK Keski-Uusimaa 1:3 VJS Vantaa
2026-07-18 Ykkonen 2026
PK Keski-Uusimaa PK Keski-Uusimaa 1:1 OLS Oulu
2026-07-11 Ykkonen 2026
PK Keski-Uusimaa PK Keski-Uusimaa 2:1 FC Jazz
2026-07-05 Ykkonen 2026
PK Keski-Uusimaa RoPS 4:3 PK Keski-Uusimaa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Tampere United
D W L W W
2026-07-24 Ykkonen 2026
Tampere United 2:2 Inter 2 Turku Tampere United
2026-07-18 Ykkonen 2026
VJS Vantaa 0:1 Tampere United Tampere United
2026-07-10 Ykkonen 2026
Tampere United 0:1 SalPa Tampere United
2026-07-04 Ykkonen 2026
KuPS 2 Kuopio 2:3 Tampere United Tampere United
2026-06-25 Ykkonen 2026
FC Jazz 0:1 Tampere United Tampere United
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points