Finland: First Division Standings
OLS - TPV
OLS take on TPV on August 4, 2026 in the Finland: First Division Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): OLS 1-1-3, TPV 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards OLS, an implied 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 OLS — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · OLS): model 38% · market 63% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win OLS 62.0%, draw 19.9%, win TPV 18.2%. Model favourite — OLS.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs OLS Oulu: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.17)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction OLS - TPV August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like OLS.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.61 / 2 5.36
- 1X2 market: OLS 63.3% / X 19.7% / TPV 17.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Dafabet, Leon, Superbet, Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
YkkönenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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OLS - TPV
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Dafabet | Superbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.42 70.4% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 5.49 18.2% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.25 19.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.92 34.3% |
| yes | 1.36 73.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 4.25 23.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon | Unibet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 3.20 31.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 5.5 | — | 1.16 86.2% |
OLS
KPV
Keski-Uusimaa
VYaS
Tampere Yunayted
KPV
YYK Yyuvyaskyulya
Keski-Uusimaa
Full head-to-head historyOLS - TPV
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The OLS - TPV breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form