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Finland: First Division Standings
Finland: First Division Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Finland: First Division Standings

OLS - TPV

Football
OLS
OLS
- : -
Not started
T
TPV

OLS take on TPV on August 4, 2026 in the Finland: First Division Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): OLS 1-1-3, TPV 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards OLS, an implied 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 OLS62%

Pure model vs market (1 · OLS): model 38% · market 63% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · OLS ✓ Pick62.0%
market63%
X · draw19.9%
market20%
2 · TPV18.2%
market17%

Model estimate: win OLS 62.0%, draw 19.9%, win TPV 18.2%. Model favourite — OLS.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1OLS (odds2.17) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs OLS Oulu: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.17)
  • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction OLS - TPV August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like OLS.

Line favourite market consensus: OLS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.61 / 2 5.36
  • 1X2 market: OLS 63.3% / X 19.7% / TPV 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1% 5 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick 63.5%
X 19.7%
2 16.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Dafabet, Leon, Superbet, Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ykkönen
League table
OLS
#326 ptsGP 177-5-532:24
TPV
#919 ptsGP 175-4-825:32
Best price across 4 books
1 1.45 1xBet
X 4.70 1xBet
2 5.49 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
OLS
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.80 xG 2.16 xGA 1.59
TPV
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.91 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.46 xGA 2.07

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
OLS
Rating 1503
TPV
Rating 1396

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 63.3% @ 1.44 / X 19.8% @ 4.61 / 2 17.0% @ 5.36
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model OLS 62%
💹 Market OLS 6329%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

OLS - TPV

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
OLS 63.5% 62.0% market and model agree
Draw 19.7% 19.9% draw risk
TPV 16.8% 18.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.0% / 19.9% / 18.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,413 / 1,536 OLS Oulu / TPV
RD 154 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,104-1,721 / 1,183-1,889 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.36 market consensus · no value · model 18.2%
X 4.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 62.0%
Handicap
2 0 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Superbet Unibet
1.45 69.0% 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.42 70.4%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.65 21.5% 4.50 22.2%
5.49 18.2% 5.40 18.5% 5.30 18.9% 5.25 19.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.92 34.3%
yes 1.36 73.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.19 84.0%
4.25 23.5%

Total

Outcome Leon Unibet
Over 2.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 3.5 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 4.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 5.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 2.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 3.5 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 4.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 5.5 1.16 86.2%
Match center
OLS
W D L L L
26.07 13:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
OLS 2:1 KPVKPV
18.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
OLS 1:1 Keski-UusimaaKeski-Uusimaa
11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
OLS 3:4 VYaSVYaS
04.07 13:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
OLS 1:3 Inter Turku 2
11.06 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
OLS 0:3 Tampere YunaytedTampere Yunayted
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
TPV
L W W W D
24.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
TPV 0:4 Dzhaz Pori
18.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
TPV 3:1 KuPS Akatemiya
11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
TPV 3:1 KPVKPV
05.07 10:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
TPV 1:0 YYK YyuvyaskyulyaYYK Yyuvyaskyulya
14.06 09:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
TPV 2:2 Keski-UusimaaKeski-Uusimaa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOLS - TPV

OLS
0 matches total
TPV
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history