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Finland: First Division Standings
Finland: First Division Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 15:30 UTC
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Finland: First Division Standings

Rops - FC jazz

Football
Rops
Rops
- : -
Not started
F
FC jazz

Rops meet FC jazz on August 4, 2026 in the Finland: First Division Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rops 4-1-0, FC jazz 2-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rops54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rops): model 50% · market 63% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rops54.4%
X · draw20.3%
2 · FC jazz25.3%

Model estimate: win Rops 54.4%, draw 20.3%, win FC jazz 25.3%. Model favourite — Rops.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rops (odds2.20) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs RoPS: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rops - FC jazz August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rops. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.63 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 62.8%
X 19.7%
2 17.5%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ykkönen
League table
Rops
#232 ptsGP 179-5-338:22
FC jazz
#824 ptsGP 177-3-724:25
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rops
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.01 Conceded 1.41 xG 2.09 xGA 1.40
FC jazz
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.51 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.59 xGA 1.99

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rops
Rating 1581
FC jazz
Rating 1471

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 62.8% @ 1.45 / X 19.7% @ 4.63 / 2 17.5% @ 5.20
Match center

Rops - FC jazz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rops 62.8% 54.4% market and model agree
Draw 19.7% 20.3% draw risk
FC jazz 17.5% 25.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.4% / 20.3% / 25.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,554 / 1,449 RoPS / Dzhaz Pori
RD 166 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,223-1,885 / 1,123-1,776 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 market consensus · no value · model 25.3%
X 4.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 54.4%
Handicap
2 0 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.21 82.6%
4.00 25.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.45 69.0%
X 4.63 21.6%
5.20 19.2%
Match center
Rops
W D W W W
25.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Rops 4:0 YYK YyuvyaskyulyaYYK Yyuvyaskyulya
20.07 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Rops 1:1 KPVKPV
10.07 12:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Rops 2:0 Inter Turku 2
05.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Rops 4:3 Keski-UusimaaKeski-Uusimaa
13.06 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
Rops 2:0 VYaSVYaS
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
FC jazz
L W W L L
30.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
FC jazz 2:7 KuPS Akatemiya
24.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
FC jazz 4:0 TPV
18.07 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
FC jazz 3:1 YYK YyuvyaskyulyaYYK Yyuvyaskyulya
11.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
FC jazz 1:2 Keski-UusimaaKeski-Uusimaa
02.07 14:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
FC jazz 0:1 KPVKPV
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRops - FC jazz

Rops
0 matches total
FC jazz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history