Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa face JJK on August 4, 2026 in the Finland: First Division Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): SalPa 2-1-2, JJK 1-1-3. The market favourite is SalPa at roughly 50%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 SalPa — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · SalPa): model 55% · market 50% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win SalPa 50.5%, draw 22.8%, win JJK 26.7%. Model favourite — SalPa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SalPa.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Dafabet, Leon, Superbet, Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 1xBet | Dafabet | Superbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 3.46 28.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.27 30.6% |
| yes | 1.29 77.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.27 44.1% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% |
| 3.60 27.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
SalPa
Keski-Uusimaa
VYaS
OLS Oulu
JJK
RoPS
KPV
Full head-to-head historySalPa - JJK
The SalPa - JJK breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
