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Finland. Superleague
Finland. Superleague
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Veykkausliiga. 1 round
Finished

Finland. Superleague

FC Lahti - Gnistan

Football
F
FC Lahti
1 : 0
Finished
Gnistan
Gnistan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Lahti - Gnistan July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Lahti.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Lahti. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.30 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: FC Lahti 39.8% / X 28.0% / Gnistan 32.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 39.8%
X 28.0%
2 32.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Veikkausliiga

Team stats

FC Lahti
WDLWWLLLDD
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.4
9 place, 13 pts
Gnistan
DWDWLWWWDD
W 5 • D 4 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 0.8
6 place, 19 pts
Head-to-head: 10 — FC Lahti 3, draws 5, Gnistan 2 (goals 21:18)
  • Gnistan — Lahti2026-06-17 1:0
  • Gnistan — Lahti2026-02-22 0:0
  • Gnistan — Lahti2024-10-05 2:2
  • Lahti — Gnistan2024-06-19 3:3
  • Gnistan — Lahti2024-06-02 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

FC Lahti
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Gnistan
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Lakhden
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

FC Lahti - Gnistan

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Lakhti - Gnistan, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Finlyandii po futbolu 2026, Veykkausliiga. 1 round. Lakhti - Gnistan, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.18 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
2.84 35.2% 2.96 33.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.21 45.3%
yes 6.20 16.1% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 6.30 15.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.94 34.0%
X 2.15 46.5%
3.78 26.5%
Match center
FC Lahti
L
13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: Premier League Standings
FC Lahti 2:3 SYK
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Gnistan
W
13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: Premier League Standings
Gnistan 3:0 Mariekhamn
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Lahti - Gnistan

FC Lahti
0 matches total
Gnistan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 FC Lahti
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Gnistan
FC Lahti Team comparison Gnistan
13 Games 13
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
15 Scored 19
15 Conceded 17
13 Points 19
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
12.78 Shots on goal 14
3.85 Shots on target 4.15
Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Neemias Barbosa Romarik Yapi 1:0 54' Nezabitye penalti Erik Andersson 90+2' Nakazaniya Romain Sans 66' Yoakim Latonen 69' Daniel Heikkinen 89'

Lakhti Gnistan 13 Games 13 3 Wins 5 4 Draws 4 6 Losses 4 15 Scored 19 15 Conceded 17 13 Points 19 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12.78 Shots on goal 14 3.85 Udary v stvor 4.15 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.46 Uglovye 3.54 2 Offsaydy 1.54 12.38 Foly 12.69 54.46 % vladeniya myachom 40.69 2.69 Warnings 2.23 0.15 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Neemias Barbosa Romarik Yapi 1:0 54' Nezabitye penalti Erik Andersson 90+2' Nakazaniya Romain Sans 66' Yoakim Latonen 69' Daniel Heikkinen 89'