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Finland. Superleague

Veykkausliiga. 1 round 13.06.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

13.06.2026 10:00 UTC Veykkausliiga. 1 round

Finished

Finland. Superleague

Ilves - TPS

Football

Ilves

1 : 0

Finished

TPS

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilves - TPS June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ilves.

Line favourite market consensus: Ilves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.69 / 2 3.82
1X2 market: Ilves 50.6% / X 25.1% / TPS 24.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 50.6%

X 25.1%

2 24.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Veikkausliiga

League table

Ilves

#812 ptsGP 113-3-514:21

WLWLD

TPS

#515 ptsGP 104-3-311:9

LWLLW

Best price across 13 books

1 1.89 Dafabet

X 4.00 Pinnacle

2 4.01 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Ilves

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.30 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.45 xGA 1.44 Corners 4.0

1 -5.15 X +1.35 2 +3.50 1 (DNB) -3.37

TPS

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.35 Conceded 0.97 xG 1.15 xGA 1.69 Corners 7.1

1 +7.95 X +0.70 2 -6.93 1 (DNB) +6.55

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Ilves

Rating 1520 xG 1.68 Win 49%

TPS

Rating 1606 xG 1.17 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Tammelan

Start 13.06.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Ilves - TPS

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Ilves - TPS, 13 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Finlyandii po futbolu 2026, Veykkausliiga. 1 round. Ilves - TPS, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.90 Fonbet · line only

X 1.87 Fonbet · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.83 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.53 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.85 26.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%
	3.75 26.7%	3.82 26.2%	3.90 25.6%	3.85 26.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.18 84.8%
yes	4.10 24.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.83 54.6%
1x	1.17 85.5%
x2	8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.53 65.4%
	6.90 14.5%
	12.00 8.3%
	1.50 66.7%
	11.00 9.1%
	12.00 8.3%
	2.35 42.6%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.01 99.0%
	2.45 40.8%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlves - TPS

Ilves

0 matches total

TPS

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Ilves

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 TPS

10 Games 9

2 Wins 4

3 Draws 3

5 Losses 2

13 Scored 11

21 Conceded 8

9 Points 15

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

8 Shots on goal 5.5

2.9 Shots on target 2.89

sliiga. 1 round Goly Dzhardell Kanga Jesse Kilo 1:0 78' Nakazaniya Lyuke Ivanovich 3' Yiandro Raap 54' Semyuel Anini 72' Oscar Haeggstroem 77'

Ilves TPS 10 Games 9 2 Wins 4 3 Draws 3 5 Losses 2 13 Scored 11 21 Conceded 8 9 Points 15 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 8 Shots on goal 5.5 2.9 Udary v stvor 2.89 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.5 Uglovye 4 1.4 Offsaydy 0.78 10.1 Foly 10.78 47.5 % vladeniya myachom 43.56 1.8 Warnings 2.56 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 20.07.2026 Finland — Veykkausliiga TPS –:– Ilves Veykkausliiga. 1 round Goly Dzhardell Kanga Jesse Kilo 1:0 78' Nakazaniya Lyuke Ivanovich 3' Yiandro Raap 54' Semyuel Anini 72' Oscar Haeggstroem 77'