Finland. Superleague

Veykkausliiga. 1 round 13.06.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

13.06.2026 14:00 UTC Veykkausliiga. 1 round

Finished

Finland. Superleague

Mariehamn - Gnistan

Futbol

Mariehamn

0 : 3

Finished

Gnistan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mariehamn - Gnistan June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gnistan.

Line favourite market consensus: Gnistan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.59 / X 3.38 / 2 1.98
1X2 market: Mariehamn 25.8% / X 27.4% / Gnistan 46.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 25.8%

X 27.4%

2 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Veikkausliiga

League table

Mariehamn

#124 ptsGP 100-4-65:17

LLLDD

Gnistan

#614 ptsGP 104-2-416:15

WWLWD

Best price across 13 books

1 4.00 Pinnacle

X 3.76 Pinnacle

2 2.03 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Mariehamn

W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 0.66 Conceded 1.44 xG 1.02 xGA 1.86 Corners 3.6

1 -6.56 X +5.10 2 -1.73 1 (DNB) -3.48

Gnistan

W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.34 Conceded 1.76 xG 1.26 xGA 1.79 Corners 3.1

1 -0.85 X -3.10 2 -1.36 1 (DNB) -0.53

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Mariehamn

Rating 1398 xG 0.91 Win 22%

Gnistan

Rating 1513 xG 1.58 Win 53%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 13.06.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Mariehamn - Gnistan

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Mariekhamn - Gnistan, 13 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Finlyandii po futbolu 2026, Veykkausliiga. 1 round. Mariekhamn - Gnistan, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X 3.43 market consensus · line only

1 3.64 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.42 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Yes 6.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	3.60 27.8%	3.64 27.5%	3.30 30.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%
	1.94 51.6%	1.99 50.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.06 94.3%
yes	6.80 14.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.01 99.0%
1x	8.50 11.8%
x2	1.06 94.3%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.65 37.7%
	4.00 25.0%
	2.65 37.7%
	7.30 13.7%
	2.35 42.6%
	6.20 16.1%
	7.00 14.3%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.18 84.8%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.52 65.8%
	5.20 19.2%
	7.80 12.8%
	9.00 11.1%
	1.07 93.5%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.06 94.3%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMariehamn - Gnistan

Mariehamn

0 matches total

Gnistan

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Mariehamn

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Gnistan

9 Games 9

0 Wins 3

4 Draws 2

5 Losses 4

5 Scored 13

14 Conceded 15

4 Points 11

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

7.25 Shots on goal 10.2

2.44 Shots on target 3.44

iga. 1 round Goly Marcelo Costa Yoakim Latonen 0:1 13' Yoakim Latonen Saku Yulyatupa 0:2 28' Danni Peres Roman Eremenko 0:3 65' Nakazaniya Kevin Lund 59' Sebastyan Dalstrem 59' Artur Atara 90' Yeboa Amankva 90+2'

Mariekhamn Gnistan 9 Games 9 0 Wins 3 4 Draws 2 5 Losses 4 5 Scored 13 14 Conceded 15 4 Points 11 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7.25 Shots on goal 10.2.44 Udary v stvor 3.44 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.56 Uglovye 3.56 2.44 Offsaydy 1.56 9.89 Foly 12.78 40.44 % vladeniya myachom 38.78 1.33 Warnings 2.22 0 Sendoffs 0.11 Sleduyuschiy match 11.07.2026 Finland — Veykkausliiga Gnistan –:– Mariekhamn Veykkausliiga. 1 round Goly Marcelo Costa Yoakim Latonen 0:1 13' Yoakim Latonen Saku Yulyatupa 0:2 28' Danni Peres Roman Eremenko 0:3 65' Nakazaniya Kevin Lund 59' Sebastyan Dalstrem 59' Artur Atara 90' Yeboa Amankva 90+2'