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Start
20.07.2026 13:00 UTC
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20.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Veykkausliiga. 1 round
Finished
Finland. Superleague
TPS - Ilves
T
TPS
1
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction TPS - Ilves July 20, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like TPS.
Line favourite market consensus: TPS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.52 / X 3.47 / 2 2.54
- 1X2 market: TPS 36.8% / X 26.7% / Ilves 36.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
36.8%
X
26.7%
2
36.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
VeikkausliigaLeague table
TPS
LWLWD
Ilves
WLDLW
Best price
across 13 books
1
2.90
Pinnacle
X
3.75
Pinnacle
2
2.60
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
TPS
W-D-L 4-1-5
Scored 1.10
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.09
xGA 1.68
Corners 3.0
Ilves
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 1.80
Conceded 1.80
xG 1.47
xGA 1.45
Corners 3.9
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
TPS
Rating 1558
Ilves
Rating 1524
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
TPS
1
:
3
Ilves
12.72
X3.52
22.38
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
TPS - Ilves
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi TPS - Ilves, 20 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Finlyandii po futbolu 2026, Veykkausliiga. 1 round. TPS - Ilves, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Form
3/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.54
market consensus · line only
X
3.48
market consensus · line only
1
2.51
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.46
market consensus · line only
X2
1.49
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.90
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.83
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.44
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.49
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.48 40.3% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.44 41.0% |
| yes | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.49 67.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-4, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-20 · TPS Turku 1:3 Ilves
2026-06-13 · TPS Turku 0:1 Ilves
2026-05-27 · TPS Turku 0:1 Ilves
2023-04-26 · TPS Turku 0:2 Ilves
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.8 (Betcity) · X 3.55 (Pari) · 2 2.49 (Liga Stavok)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.4 |
| Winline | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.47 |
| Fonbet | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.4 |
| Betcity | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.49 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Match stats
48
Ball possession
52
8
Vsego udarov
13
2
Shots on target
6
4
Shots off target
3
8
Udary ot vorot
9
2
Blokirovannye udary
4
14
Shtrafnye
17
7
Corners
6
0
Offsides
1
10
Auty
14
3
Saves
1
17
Fouls
13
5
Cards total
3
4
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Second yellows
0
0
Travmy
0
4
Substitutions
5
Source: ruscore
TPS
W
L
L
TPS
3:0
Oulu
Oulu
TPS
1:3
SYK
TPS
0:1
Ilves
Ilves
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTPS - Ilves
TPS
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
TPS
Team 2
Ilves
TPS
Team comparison
Ilves
15
Games
15
6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
7
19
Scored
25
16
Conceded
29
22
Points
16
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
11.5
Shots on goal
11.36
4
Shots on target
4.47
TPS Ilves 15 Games 15 6 Wins 4 Draws 4 5 Losses 7 19 Scored 25 16 Conceded 29 22 Points 16 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11.5 Shots on goal 11.36 4 Udary v stvor 4.47 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.93 Uglovye 4.07 0.8 Offsaydy 1.53 11.33 Foly 9.47 45.4 % vladeniya myachom 49.2 1.93 Warnings 1.6 0 Sendoffs 0.07 Goly Teemu Khyutenen Oliver Pettersson 0:1 34' Matey Gradetski Timo Zal 1 42' Oliver Pettersson 1:2 45' Teemu Khyutenen 1:3 70' Nakazaniya Ville Kumpu 14' Nikolas Talo 29' Teemu Khyutenen 32' Elmer Vaukonen 49' Kian Visser 57' Oscar Haeggstroem 68' Oscar Haeggstroem 73' Sauli Vyaysyanen 90+2'
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