Finland. Superleague
Finland. Superleague
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC Вейккауслиига. 1 round
Finished

Finland. Superleague

VPS - Mariehamn

Futbol
VPS
VPS
4 : 0
Finished
M
Mariehamn
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1VPS71%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VPS - Mariehamn July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VPS.

Line favourite market consensus: VPS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.03 / 2 8.79
  • 1X2 market: VPS 71.0% / X 18.4% / Mariehamn 10.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 71.1%
X 18.4%
2 10.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Veikkausliiga
League table
VPS
#424 ptsGP 146-6-221:11
WDWWD
Mariehamn
#124 ptsGP 140-4-106:29
LLLLL
Best price across 13 books
1 1.30 Unibet
X 5.95 Pinnacle
2 11.02 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
VPS
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.31 xGA 1.33 Corners 3.2
Mariehamn
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.30 Conceded 1.91 xG 0.87 xGA 2.04 Corners 4.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
VPS
Rating 1579 xG 1.94 Win 66%
Mariehamn
Rating 1351 xG 0.72 Win 13%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Veikkausliiga

Team stats

VPS
DWWLDDWWDL
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 1
5 place, 21 pts
Mariehamn
DWDLLLLLLL
W 1 • D 2 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 1.8
12 place, 4 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — VPS 7, draws 4, Mariehamn 4 (goals 24:19)
  • IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2026-05-02 0:1
  • IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2025-09-21 2:1
  • Vaasa PS — IFK Mariehamn2025-08-01 1:1
  • IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2025-06-14 1:5
  • Vaasa PS — IFK Mariehamn2024-07-28 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

VPS
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Mariehamn
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Переменная облачность

Temperature
22.3°
Feels like
21.4°
Wind
14.8 km/h (gusts 27)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
58%
Cloud cover
72%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Stadium Lemonsoft
Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

VPS - Mariehamn

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи ВПС - Мариехамн, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Финляндии по футболу 2026, Вейккауслиига. 1 round. ВПС - Мариехамн, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.78 market consensus · line only
X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
X2 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
X 4.65 21.5% 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8%
9.70 10.3% 9.50 10.5% 8.00 12.5% 8.25 12.1% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.04 96.2% 1.79 55.9%
yes 8.00 12.5% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1%
x2 3.43 29.2% 3.50 28.6% 5.80 17.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
X 2.74 36.5%
8.70 11.5%
Match center
Mariehamn
L
13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: Premier League Standings
Mariehamn 0:3 GnistanGnistan
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVPS - Mariehamn

VPS
0 matches total
Mariehamn
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 VPS
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Mariehamn
VPS Team comparison Mariehamn
13 Games 13
5 Wins 0
6 Draws 4
2 Losses 9
17 Scored 6
11 Conceded 25
21 Points 4
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
11 Shots on goal 8.5
3.46 Shots on target 2.69
ения 0 Голы Лука Смит Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 1:0 3' Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 2:0 32' Olavi Keturi 3:0 75' Акоон Куэк Вильмер Рённберг 4:0 90'

ВПС Мариехамн 13 Игры 13 5 Победы 0 6 Ничьи 4 2 Поражения 9 17 Забито 6 11 Пропущено 25 21 Очки 4 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 11 Удары по воротам 8.5 3.46 Удары в створ 2.69 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.08 Угловые 3.38 2.08 Оффсайды 2.46 11.54 Фолы 10.92 45.46 % владения мячом 42.38 1.69 Warnings 1.85 0.15 Sendoffs 0 Голы Лука Смит Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 1:0 3' Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 2:0 32' Olavi Keturi 3:0 75' Акоон Куэк Вильмер Рённберг 4:0 90'