Finland. Superleague
VPS - Mariehamn
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1VPS — 71%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction VPS - Mariehamn July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VPS.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.03 / 2 8.79
- 1X2 market: VPS 71.0% / X 18.4% / Mariehamn 10.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
VeikkausliigaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Veikkausliiga
Team stats
- IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2026-05-02 0:1
- IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2025-09-21 2:1
- Vaasa PS — IFK Mariehamn2025-08-01 1:1
- IFK Mariehamn — Vaasa PS2025-06-14 1:5
- Vaasa PS — IFK Mariehamn2024-07-28 2:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Match conditions
Match weather
Переменная облачность
Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.
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VPS - Mariehamn
Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи ВПС - Мариехамн, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Финляндии по футболу 2026, Вейккауслиига. 1 round. ВПС - Мариехамн, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | |
| X | 4.65 21.5% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 9.70 10.3% | 9.50 10.5% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.25 12.1% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.00 11.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.04 96.2% | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 8.00 12.5% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | — |
| x2 | 3.43 29.2% | 3.50 28.6% | 5.80 17.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 2.74 36.5% |
| 8.70 11.5% |
Gnistan
Full head-to-head historyVPS - Mariehamn
Match history
ВПС Мариехамн 13 Игры 13 5 Победы 0 6 Ничьи 4 2 Поражения 9 17 Забито 6 11 Пропущено 25 21 Очки 4 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 11 Удары по воротам 8.5 3.46 Удары в створ 2.69 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.08 Угловые 3.38 2.08 Оффсайды 2.46 11.54 Фолы 10.92 45.46 % владения мячом 42.38 1.69 Warnings 1.85 0.15 Sendoffs 0 Голы Лука Смит Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 1:0 3' Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Кевин Коуассиви-Бениссан 2:0 32' Olavi Keturi 3:0 75' Акоон Куэк Вильмер Рённберг 4:0 90'